2021
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0245644
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Exposure to asylum seekers and changing support for the radical right: A natural experiment in the Netherlands

Abstract: As a result of the 2015 refugee crisis, a substantial number of voters experienced a sudden and unexpected influx of asylum seekers in their neighbourhood in the Netherlands. We examined whether and why local exposure to asylum seekers leads to more support for the radical right (i.e. PVV). Our analyses are based on a longitudinal individual-level panel dataset including more than 19,000 respondents (1VOP) who were interviewed just before and shortly after the height of the refugee crisis. We enriched this dat… Show more

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Cited by 7 publications
(8 citation statements)
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“…2019; Tolsma et al. 2021). In sum, the relationship between immigration and PRR support reflects a complex interplay between threat and contact.…”
Section: Theorymentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…2019; Tolsma et al. 2021). In sum, the relationship between immigration and PRR support reflects a complex interplay between threat and contact.…”
Section: Theorymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Moreover, sudden increases in, rather than stable levels of, local immigrant presence induce a negative reaction among majority-group citizens (Olzak 1994;Tolsma et al 2007;Savelkoul et al 2017;Kaufmann 2017). Recent quasi-experimental studies show that the sudden arrival and/or allocation of Syrian refugees increases support for the PRR (Dinas et al 2019;Dustmann et al 2019;Tolsma et al 2021). In sum, the relationship between immigration and PRR support reflects a complex interplay between threat and contact.…”
Section: Exposure To Immigrationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Both events are in a way ongoing and it may be difficult to clearly define an official start and end to them. However, the Netherlands, similar to most other European countries, experienced record numbers of asylum seekers during 2015/16 (Tolsma et al, 2021). This is mirrored by the frequency of related media articles published in print media, which were highest in 2015 and 2016 (Czymara and Klingeren, 2021).…”
Section: Control Variablesmentioning
confidence: 95%
“…Both events are in a way ongoing and it is impossible to clearly define an official start and end to them. However, the Netherlands, similar to most other European countries, experienced record numbers of migrants and asylum seekers during 2015/16 (Tolsma et al, 2021). This is mirrored by the frequency of related media articles published in print media, which were highest in 2015 and 2016 (Czymara & Klingeren, 2021).…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%