Background:
Pollution may play a role in population trends of declining semen quality and regional differences in time to pregnancy (TTP) in industrialized societies. Dioxins including 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD) have been suspected. In 1976, an explosion near Seveso, Italy resulted in the highest TCDD exposure known in residential populations. Twenty years after, we conducted a retrospective cohort study, the Seveso Women’s Health Study.
Methods:
Of 981 participants, 472 women attempted pregnancy post-explosion, and 278 delivered a livebirth not due to contraceptive failure. Individual serum TCDD levels were measured from samples collected soon after the explosion and extrapolated to the conception attempt. We examined the relation of TCDD levels to TTP, parameterized as the monthly probability of conception within the first 12 months of trying, and to infertility, defined as conception ≥12 months of trying. We modeled fecundability with discrete time Cox proportional hazards regression and modeled fertility with logistic regression. We tested sensitivity of the conclusions to differing definitions of eligibility and outcome.
Results:
Median TCDD level was 50 ppt, median TTP was 2 months, and 17% reported taking ≥12 months to conceive. For every ten-fold increase in serum TCDD, we observed a 25% increase in TTP (adjusted-fecundability odds ratio = 0.75; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.60, 0.95) and about a doubling in odds of infertility (adjusted odds ratio = 1.9; 95% CI 1.14, 3.22). Results were similar for extrapolated TCDD and sensitivity analyses.
Conclusions:
We found dose-related increases in TTP and infertility associated with individual serum TCDD levels in the women from Seveso, Italy. These findings may have important implications for fertility in industrialized areas.