Exploring Transboundary Water Conflict and Cooperation

Dinar, Ariel

doi:10.1029/2003wr002598

Cited by 22 publications

(15 citation statements)

References 12 publications

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“…However, most studies have dealt only with specific rivers. Only in recent years have researchers attempted to generalize and extrapolate by collecting data and analyzing the issue on regional and global scales (Wolf et al, 2003a;Dinar, 2004).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Influence of Hydroclimatology and Socioeconomic Conditions on Water-Related International Relations

Stahl¹

2005

Water International

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Climatic and environmental changes and a rising water demand have increased the competition over water resources and have made cooperation between countries that share a transboundary river an important issue in water resources management and hydropolitics. Yet in river basins around the world, international conflict and cooperation are influenced by different factors, and general conclusions about forces driving conflict and cooperation have been difficult to draw. Using global data, this study investigates how combinations of hydroclimatic, socioeconomic and political conditions influence the pattern of water-related international relations (WIR). The data complexity required several steps of statistical analysis. First, patterns of WIR were defined by subjecting the basins' aggregate history of political event data to cluster analysis. Using the classified WIR-patterns as a dependent variable, the study then explores the influence of combinations of explanatory variables on international relations by the means of a multivariate classification tree model. The obtained model, which determines a basin-country-share's most likely WIR-class by its hydroclimatic, socioeconomic, and political characteristics, correctly classifies two-thirds of the basin shares. The tree rules suggest that hydroclimatic variability and population density are most influential in arid to sub-humid basins, while socioeconomic and political factors seem to be more important in determining WIR in humid basins. The application of the model to all international basins worldwide illustrates its potential for the assessment of the global water-related international relations processes.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Influence of Hydroclimatology and Socioeconomic Conditions on Water-Related International Relations

Stahl¹

2005

Water International

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“…Among them, a very rich body of analytical techniques deal with treaties, conflict, and cooperation over international rivers [ Gleditsch et al ., ; Zawahri et al ., ; Zawahri and Mitchell , ; Dinar et al ., ; Brochmann and Hensel , ; Brochmann , ]. For a description of various economic, statistical, and game‐theoretical approaches for studying transboundary water conflict and cooperation, see Dinar and Dinar [] and Dinar []. In particular, water resources conflict resolution research has been carried out in a game‐theoretic framework because game methods can provide a better understanding of the trade‐offs inherent in water resources management, such as sustainability versus efficiency.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Power asymmetry in conflict resolution with application to a water pollution dispute in China

Yu¹,

Kilgour

Hipel

et al. 2015

Water Resources Research

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The concept of power asymmetry is incorporated into the framework of the Graph Model for Conflict Resolution (GMCR) and then applied to a water pollution dispute in China in order to show how it can provide strategic insights into courses of action. In a new definition of power asymmetry, one of the decision makers (DMs) in a conflict can influence the preferences of other DMs by taking advantage of additional options reflecting the particular DM's more powerful position. The more powerful DM may have three different kinds of power: direct positive, direct negative, or indirect. It is useful to analyze a model of a conflict without power asymmetry, and then to analyze a power-asymmetric model. As demonstrated by analysis of the water quality controversy that took place at the border separating the Chinese provinces of Jiangsu and Zhejiang, this novel conflict resolution methodology can be readily applied to real-world strategic conflicts to gain an enhanced understanding of the effects of asymmetric power.

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“…Strong variation in the willingness and ability of riparian countries around the world to cooperate in transboundary water resources management has spurred much research in the social, natural and engineering sciences on the conditions that promote or hinder successful cooperation [ Bernauer , 2002; Dinar , 2004]. The existing literature in this area is dominated by many qualitative case studies and a few comparative, quantitative analyses.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Estimating the performance of international regulatory regimes: Methodology and empirical application to international water management in the Naryn/Syr Darya basin

Siegfried

Bernauer

2007

Water Resources Research

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[1] We develop a methodology for estimating the performance of international regulatory regimes in the context of transboundary surface waters. Our performance metric relies on assessments, over time, of actual performance, counterfactual performance, and optimal performance. The metric is of practical relevance as a diagnostic tool for policy evaluation. Thus it provides a starting point for policy improvement. To demonstrate the empirical relevance of this methodology we examine international water management in the Naryn/Syr Darya basin, a major international river system in Central Asia. The emphasis is on the Toktogul reservoir, the main reservoir in the Naryn/Syr Darya basin, and its downstream effects. The biggest policy challenge in this case has been to design and implement international trade-offs among water releases for upstream hydropower production in winter and water releases for downstream irrigation in summer. We find that the international regime in place since 1998 is characterized by low average performance and high variability.Citation: Siegfried, T., and T. Bernauer (2007), Estimating the performance of international regulatory regimes: Methodology and empirical application to international water management in the Naryn/Syr Darya basin, Water Resour.

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Exploring Transboundary Water Conflict and Cooperation

Cited by 22 publications

References 12 publications

Influence of Hydroclimatology and Socioeconomic Conditions on Water-Related International Relations

Influence of Hydroclimatology and Socioeconomic Conditions on Water-Related International Relations

Power asymmetry in conflict resolution with application to a water pollution dispute in China

Estimating the performance of international regulatory regimes: Methodology and empirical application to international water management in the Naryn/Syr Darya basin

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