2017
DOI: 10.4054/demres.2017.37.32
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Exploring the fertility trend in Egypt

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Cited by 22 publications
(16 citation statements)
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“…The growth of the youngest ASFRs was mainly due to a shift in the female age at first marriage to younger years, as in populations in which childbearing after marriage is considered almost obligatory, an increase in the age at first marriage normally also results in an increase in first births at those ages. A similar trend can be observed in Egypt, where a rise in total fertility from 3.0 in 2008 to 3.5 in 2014 was accompanied by a change in age patterns, with the fertility peak shifting from ages 25-29 to ages 20-24 over that period (Al Zalak and Goujon 2017). Note that since in both Algeria and Egypt total fertility was increasing with the shift in timing, there is no reason to assume that the growth in the proportion of the youngest age groups relative to the proportion of the 25-29 age group was due to a decrease in higher order births in the latter age group.…”
Section: Timing Of the First Birth In Developing Countries: Background And Hypothesessupporting
confidence: 73%
“…The growth of the youngest ASFRs was mainly due to a shift in the female age at first marriage to younger years, as in populations in which childbearing after marriage is considered almost obligatory, an increase in the age at first marriage normally also results in an increase in first births at those ages. A similar trend can be observed in Egypt, where a rise in total fertility from 3.0 in 2008 to 3.5 in 2014 was accompanied by a change in age patterns, with the fertility peak shifting from ages 25-29 to ages 20-24 over that period (Al Zalak and Goujon 2017). Note that since in both Algeria and Egypt total fertility was increasing with the shift in timing, there is no reason to assume that the growth in the proportion of the youngest age groups relative to the proportion of the 25-29 age group was due to a decrease in higher order births in the latter age group.…”
Section: Timing Of the First Birth In Developing Countries: Background And Hypothesessupporting
confidence: 73%
“…It should also be noted that some factors may not be linearly related to the birth rate. For example, the results of a study conducted in Egypt by Zalak and Goujon (2017) show that the employment rate of women in the public sector has a positive effect on the likelihood of having a first and second child, but has a negative impact on decisions about having subsequent children.…”
Section: Reviewing the Literaturementioning
confidence: 99%
“…The current evidence suggests that the experience of fertility stalls or reversals is relatively common in the countries undergoing the fertility transition, with some societies experiencing a prolonged period of stalling fertility at higher levels lasting two or more decades. Al Zalak and Goujon's (2017) analysis of increasing fertility in Egypt between 2005 and 2015 also showed that changes in the timing of marriage and childbearing could explain some of the fertility stalls. During that period, more women married at an early age (before age 25), and the previous gradual shift towards later marriage and childbearing had come to an end.…”
Section: Which Factors Sustain the Fertility Transition And Which Factors Contribute To Fertility Stalls And Reversals?mentioning
confidence: 99%