Exploring the Dynamic Links between GCC Sukuk and Commodity Market Volatility

Abstract

This study investigates the impact of commodity price volatility (including soft commodities, precious metals, industrial metals, and energy) on the dynamics of corporate sukuk returns. Using a sample of sukuk indices from Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries, we study the dynamic conditional correlation using a multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity dynamic conditional correlation (GARCH-DCC) process. Empirical results show a time-varying negative correlation between GCC sukuk returns and commodity prices. In fact, a negative conditional correlation among assets of a given portfolio implies higher gain-to-risk ratios. An understanding of volatility and dynamic co-movements in financial and commodity markets is important for portfolio allocation and risk management practices.

Analysis of the Relationship Between Precious Metals and Stock Markets: Application on Borsa Istanbul Commercial Sectors

“…The sectors included in the study were obtained from studies such asJiang, Jiang, Nie, and Mo (2019);Naifar, (2018); and Mensi, Hammoudeh., Al-Jarrah,Sensoy, Kang, (2017).3 In the study, spot prices were used instead of forward prices in terms of reflecting current volatility along with future volatility(Pindyck, 2004;Sarwar, Khalfaoui, Waheed, & Dastgerdi, 2019).…”