Exploring the determinants of emerging bioenergy market participation

Galik, Christopher S.

doi:10.1016/j.rser.2015.03.005

Cited by 22 publications

(10 citation statements)

References 51 publications

(58 reference statements)

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“…Factors such as the composition of housing stock into the coming decades, the forward trends in pulp and paper use, and the hard-to-predict effect of insect infestations can have a large impact on the availability of biomass for pelletization and export. 46,47 The results of our study raise new and important questions that will require further research. This analysis evaluates the amount of biomass material available under several scenarios but does not consider the supply chain dynamics that could constrain its being brought to market.…”

Section: Sources Of Uncertainty and Areas For Further Researchmentioning

confidence: 85%

“…Furthermore, many of the drivers of this model are themselves sensitive to both domestic and global policy and economic circumstances, which are prone to unanticipated changes. Factors such as the composition of housing stock into the coming decades, the forward trends in pulp and paper use, and the hard‐to‐predict effect of insect infestations can have a large impact on the availability of biomass for pelletization and export …”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Opportunities and risks for sustainable biomass export from the south‐eastern United States to Europe

Fingerman

Nabuurs

Iriarte³

et al. 2017

Biofuels Bioprod Bioref

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Import of wood pellets to the EU from the southeastern United States has increased almost ten‐fold over the past seven years, driven largely by mandates under the Renewable Energy Directive. While the displacement of fossil fuels with biomass can offer significant energy diversity and climate benefits, these must be balanced against the potential detriment from unsustainable extraction of biomass resources. This study projects the scale of the sustainable biomass resource base in the US southeast through 2030 under various scenarios of industry development and domestic market dynamics. We characterise this resource base at the county level, disaggregating it by material type and spatially constraining it to ensure biodiversity conservation. Our analysis shows that there could be as much as 70 million green metric tons of sustainable export potential from the US Southeast in 2030. However, we also show the extent to which sustainable sourcing criteria applied only to EU biomass energy imports could create leakage across biomass markets, erasing gains from any sustainability mandate. This leakage risk was fairly consistent across our study scenarios and time periods, ranging from 50 to over 63 million green tons of biomass per year. Meaningful biodiversity protections can only be achieved if sustainability criteria for biomass import to the EU are combined with more comprehensive support for sustainable sourcing across biomass industries in exporting regions. © 2017 Society of Chemical Industry and John Wiley & Sons, Ltd

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Section: Sources Of Uncertainty and Areas For Further Researchmentioning

confidence: 85%

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Opportunities and risks for sustainable biomass export from the south‐eastern United States to Europe

Fingerman

Nabuurs

Iriarte³

et al. 2017

Biofuels Bioprod Bioref

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“…As with other studies of willingness to adopt bioenergy crops [17,32,33], profit is a leading decision driver. A primary challenge would be providing reasonable assurance that poplar would be profitable.…”

Section: Poplar and Agriculture: Challengesmentioning

confidence: 94%

Stakeholder Assessment of the Feasibility of Poplar as a Biomass Feedstock and Ecosystem Services Provider in Southwestern Washington, USA

Hart

Townsend

Chowyuk

et al. 2018

Forests

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Advanced Hardwood Biofuels Northwest (AHB), a USDA NIFA-funded consortium of university and industry partners, identified southwestern Washington as a potential location for a regional bioproducts industry using poplar trees (Populus spp.) as the feedstock. In this qualitative case study, we present the results of an exploratory feasibility investigation based on conversations with agricultural and natural resources stakeholders. This research complements a techno-economic modelling of a hypothetical biorefinery near Centralia, WA, USA. Interviews and group discussions explored the feasibility of a poplar-based bioproducts industry in southwestern WA, especially as it relates to converting land to poplar farms and the potential for poplar to provide ecosystem services. Stakeholders revealed challenges to local agriculture, past failures to profit from poplar (for pulp/sawlogs), land-use planning efforts for flood mitigation and salmon conservation, questions about biorefinery operations, and a need for a new economic opportunity that “pencils out”. Overall, if the business model is convincing, participants see chances for win-win situations where landowners could profit growing poplar on otherwise low-value acreage and achieve ecosystem services for wastewater or floodplain management.

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“…From an individual biomass producer perspective, for example, research has shown that market uncertainty can impede participation in nascent bioenergy markets, particularly when changes in production practices are necessary (Dorning et al 2015, Galik 2015Jensen et al 2007). From an individual installation perspective, the spatial distribution of available biomass supply and the configuration of the end-use application have been cited as important factors to consider (Schmidt et al 2010).…”

Section: Bioenergy In Research and Practicementioning

confidence: 99%

“…From a broader market perspective, research has shown that subsidies and continued technological development, particularly with regard to potential feedstock, are required for bioenergy to be competitive with fossil fuels and achieve sizable market penetration (McCarl et al 2000;Khanna et al 2011). Other so-called non-technical factors have likewise been found to inhibit bioenergy market development, specifically integration with other economic activities, scale effects, competition both inside and outside bioenergy markets, attributes of bioenergy markets themselves, social constraints, and local and national policy (Roos et al 1999;McCormick and Kåberger 2007;Galik 2015).…”

Section: Bioenergy In Research and Practicementioning

confidence: 99%

Meeting renewable energy and land use objectives through public–private biomass supply partnerships

et al. 2016

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Bioenergy is a significant source of renewable energy in the U.S. and internationally. We explore whether creation of localized bioenergy markets near existing military installations in the southeastern U.S. could simultaneously address military renewable energy generation objectives while reducing urban encroachment. We model the use of public-private partnerships to stimulate the creation of these markets, in which stable installation demand is paired with stable supply from surrounding landowners. We employ two economic modelsthe SubRegional Timber Supply (SRTS) model and the Forest and Agricultural Sector Model with Greenhouse Gases (FASOMGHG)to assess how markets influence forest and agriculture land use, renewable energy production, and greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation at the regional and national levels. When all selected installations increase bioenergy capacity simultaneously, we find increased preservation of forest land area, increased forest carbon storage in the region, and increased renewable energy generation at military installations. Nationally, however, carbon stocks are depleted as harvests increase, increasing GHG emissions even after accounting for potential displaced emissions from coal-or natural gas-fired generation. Increasing bioenergy generation on a single installation within the Southeast has very different effects on forest area and composition, yielding greater standing timber volume and higher forest carbon stock. In addition to demonstrating the benefits of linking two partial equilibrium models of varying solution technique, sectoral scope, and resource detail, results suggest that a tailored policy approach may be more effective in meeting local encroachment reduction and renewable energy generation objectives while avoiding negative GHG mitigation consequences.

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Exploring the determinants of emerging bioenergy market participation

Cited by 22 publications

References 51 publications

Opportunities and risks for sustainable biomass export from the south‐eastern United States to Europe

Opportunities and risks for sustainable biomass export from the south‐eastern United States to Europe

Stakeholder Assessment of the Feasibility of Poplar as a Biomass Feedstock and Ecosystem Services Provider in Southwestern Washington, USA

Meeting renewable energy and land use objectives through public–private biomass supply partnerships

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