Exploring Fractional Dynamical Probes in the Context of Gender-Structured Hiv–tb Coinfection: A Study of Control Strategies

Abstract

The primary objective of this paper is to conduct an in-depth analysis of the intricacies inherent in a gender-structured model depicting the dynamics of HIV–TB coinfection. The model is articulated through a set of nonlinear fractional-order differential equations. Our focus is on elucidating the stability characteristics around equilibrium points, employing advanced fractional stability techniques. We leverage sensitivity analysis as a powerful tool to discern the specific model parameters exerting significant influence on the transmission and control of the coinfection, as gauged by the basic reproduction number. Through this, we aim to identify key factors that drive the spread or containment of the dual affliction. Furthermore, we delve into the realm of optimization by formulating a fractional optimal control problem. The objective is to design and implement two control strategies that effectively mitigate the prevalence of coinfection, demonstrating a state of perfect protection. Notably, our findings reveal that the implementation of control measures at a rate exceeding 80% suffices to eliminate the infection entirely. We anticipate that the insights garnered from this research will prove instrumental for policymakers in crafting strategic interventions to curtail the tragic impact of HIV–TB coinfection. Our scientifically grounded study serves as a foundation upon which comprehensive plans can be devised to stem the devastating consequences of this dual health challenge.