2010
DOI: 10.1080/09644016.2010.518682
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Explaining the Green vote: Belgian local elections, 1994–2006

Abstract: analysed using a Tobit II model, indicate that entry into the elections is strongly determined by district magnitude. No evidence of a mainstreaming of their electoral appeals was found, but a strong positive incumbency effect on the local level, as Green parties tend to be rewarded for participation in a local governing majority, contrasts with the negative incumbency effects demonstrated at the national level.

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Cited by 12 publications
(14 citation statements)
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References 33 publications
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“…According to surveys conducted in several European countries, both highly qualified people and youths are more prone to support this party family (Dolezal 2010, Oesch-Rennwald 2010, Hooghe et al 2010. Ecological inferences also confirm this tendency: the strongholds of green parties are in big cities, capitals, and especially downtown areas-places with a high proportion of young and educated inhabitants .…”
Section: Three Competing Political Communities Among the Hungarian Youthmentioning
confidence: 55%
“…According to surveys conducted in several European countries, both highly qualified people and youths are more prone to support this party family (Dolezal 2010, Oesch-Rennwald 2010, Hooghe et al 2010. Ecological inferences also confirm this tendency: the strongholds of green parties are in big cities, capitals, and especially downtown areas-places with a high proportion of young and educated inhabitants .…”
Section: Three Competing Political Communities Among the Hungarian Youthmentioning
confidence: 55%
“…203-204), and this may limit the Greens' appeal much beyond 10% of the national vote (Charnock 2009, p. 254). This is compounded because there are few indications, if any, that the Greens voter base is mainstreaming and diversifying (Hooghe et al 2010). On this assessment, the Greens' electoral support is likely to remain contained into the foreseeable future, even if the party does continue to capitalise on episodic outpourings of dissatisfaction with conventional parties.…”
Section: Environmental Politics 719mentioning
confidence: 91%
“…Few studies are available, however, regarding community level effects of organised religion: are religious parties more successful in religious communities, even controlling for individual level characteristics of voters? This kind of analysis regarding the local level has already proven to be quite useful, for instance in predicting the vote for extreme-right parties (Coffe´et al, 2007), or for Green parties (Hooghe et al, 2010). We aim to ascertain whether the methodology used in this kind of studies can also be used in a meaningful manner to predict the share of vote for the Christian Democratic party in Belgium.…”
Section: The Measurement Of the Religious Cleavagementioning
confidence: 99%