We thank Joost de Laat, Claude Fluet and Elena Panova for comments on earlier drafts. This research was financed by grants from SSHRC (Canada) and FQRSC (Quebec).
Abstract:We examine the effects of famine relief efforts (food aid) in regions undergoing civil war. In our model, warlords seize a fraction of all aid and use it to feed soldiers. They hire their troops within a population of farmers heterogeneous in skills. We determine the equilibrium distribution of labor in this environment and study how the existence and allocation strategies of a benevolent food aid agency affect this equilibrium. Our model allows us to precisely predict who will fight and who will work in every circumstance.