Explaining changes in perceived wildfire risk related to the mountain pine beetle outbreak in north central Colorado

Qin, Hua; Brenkert–Smith, Hannah; Sanders, Christine; Vickery, Jamie; Bass, Martha

doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.108080

Cited by 6 publications

(7 citation statements)

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“…Using such data, Qin, Brenkert‐Smith, Sanders, et al. (2021) found that higher levels of perceived disturbance intensity, personal wildfire experience, information use, and individual actions, as well as younger ages, females, and noninvolvement in forest‐related occupations were associated with greater odds of reporting increased concerns about wildfire hazard. In a nonforest risk context, Trumbo et al.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Despite improved understanding of temporal changes in perceived forest risks, particularly those related to insect disturbance and wildfire hazard (Champ & Brenkert‐Smith, 2016; Flint, 2007; Gordon et al., 2013; McFarlane & Witson, 2008; Qin, Brenkert‐Smith, Vickery, et al., 2021; Qin, Flint, et al., 2015), research on the feedback of prevention or mitigation actions on forest risk perception has remained limited. Previous longitudinal research on the human dimensions of forest insect disturbance revealed that whereas aggregate perceived forest risk reduced over time, the trends of change varied across the perceptions of immediate threats to personal safety or property and broader threats to community or ecological well‐being (Qin, Flint, et al., 2015; Qin, Brenkert‐Smith, Vickery, et al., 2021). The positive relationship between forest risk perception and actions in response to insect outbreaks was no longer significant in follow‐up analyses (Qin, Brenkert‐Smith, Vickery, et al., 2021).…”

Section: The Dynamc Relationshps Between Risk Perception and Behaviormentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Previous longitudinal research on the human dimensions of forest insect disturbance revealed that whereas aggregate perceived forest risk reduced over time, the trends of change varied across the perceptions of immediate threats to personal safety or property and broader threats to community or ecological well‐being (Qin, Flint, et al., 2015; Qin, Brenkert‐Smith, Vickery, et al., 2021). The positive relationship between forest risk perception and actions in response to insect outbreaks was no longer significant in follow‐up analyses (Qin, Brenkert‐Smith, Vickery, et al., 2021). Similarly, a study using a two‐phase design identified different changes in perceived probability and consequences of a wildfire after extreme wildfire events (McFarlane & Witson, 2008).…”

Section: The Dynamc Relationshps Between Risk Perception and Behaviormentioning

confidence: 99%

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Do actions reduce perceived risk? A longitudinal analysis of the relationship between risk perception and actions in response to forest disturbance in Colorado

et al. 2022

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As residents living in hazard‐prone areas face on‐going environmental threats, the actions they take to mitigate such risks are likely motivated by various factors. Whereas risk perception has been considered a key determinant of related behavioral responses, little is known about how risk mitigation actions influence subsequent perceived risk. In other words, do actions to prevent or mitigate risk reduce risk perception? This longitudinal study considers the dynamic relationships between risk perception and risk‐mitigating behavior in the context of forest disturbance in north‐central Colorado. Based on panel survey data collected in 2007 and 2018, the results provide a first look at changes in perceived forest risks as they relate to individual and community actions in response to an extensive mountain pine beetle outbreak. Analysis revealed that the perception of direct forest risks (forest fire and falling trees) increased, whereas indirect forest risk perception (concern on broader threats to local community) decreased across the two study phases. Higher individual or community activeness (level of actions) was associated with subsequent reductions in perceived forest fire risk, smaller increases in direct risk perception, and larger decreases in indirect risk perception. These findings contribute insights into the complex risk reappraisal process in forest hazard contexts, with direct implications for risk communication and management strategies.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: The Dynamc Relationshps Between Risk Perception and Behaviormentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: The Dynamc Relationshps Between Risk Perception and Behaviormentioning

confidence: 99%

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Do actions reduce perceived risk? A longitudinal analysis of the relationship between risk perception and actions in response to forest disturbance in Colorado

et al. 2022

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“…At present, landscape risk assessments at locally and abroad mainly focus on rivers (Dale et al, 2000, Walker et al, 2001, Ayre and Landis, 2012, Yanes et al, 2019 and coasts (André et al, 2021, Yanjie et al, 2022, D'Souza et al, 2022, Yanes et al, 2019. Many scholars have conducted forest landscape risk assessments on climate change (Rasoul and R., 2022) and fire (Hua et al, 2021) . Tanja et al, 2022 investigated the ecological risks of the Bohai Sea landscape in China by analyzing pesticide residues in freshwater systems.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Rasoul and R., 2022 proposed that forest management efforts should be made to reduce the ecological risk of forest landscape. Hua et al, 2021 carried out time series analysis on wildfire and forest landscape risk from the large-scale spread of mountain pine beetle (MPB) epidemic, which was found to have a multitude of explanatory variables. At present, research on the ecological risk of forest landscape is limited.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Based on ecological risk assessment of landscape from the perspective of Saihanba landscape pattern changes

Kang,

Yang,

Qing

et al. 2024

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Examining the Saihanba Mechanical Forest Farm, this study utilized landsat remote sensing data from 1987, 1997, 2001, 2013, and 2020 to interpret land use from the vector machine method, and to decipher evolving land use patterns over the last four decades. Grounded in landscape ecology theory, an innovative evaluation index for landscape ecological risk was introduced, leading to the delineation of 382 ecological risk evaluation units based on the degree of global landscape risk. Employing landscape pattern indices and a method around spatial autocorrelation, we analyzed the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics and spatial correlation patterns of landscape ecological risk across five distinct periods. Geostatistical approaches were used to explore the driving factors of landscape risk. Results indicate significant shifts in land use types since 1987, notably with a evident increase in forest landscape predominantly at the expense of grassland and sandy land. Over the 1987 to 2020 period, landscape risk demonstrated a gradual decline, with mid-high and high-risk areas clustering in specific locales, while the broader region predominantly featured low landscape risk. The landscape ecological risks in each period of the study area showed a positive spatial correlation and tended to gather in space. Since its establishment in 1962, the landscape changes caused by human factors such as afforestation projects and scientific forest management methods have reduced the ecological risk of the landscape. A comprehensive exploration using geographic detectors identified nine ecological driving factors, with soil type emerging as the principal risk determinant, and its synergistic interaction with precipitation and other factors surpassing the individual factor effects.

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Fire and Insect Interactions in North American Forests

et al. 2022

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Explaining changes in perceived wildfire risk related to the mountain pine beetle outbreak in north central Colorado

Cited by 6 publications

References 63 publications

Do actions reduce perceived risk? A longitudinal analysis of the relationship between risk perception and actions in response to forest disturbance in Colorado

Do actions reduce perceived risk? A longitudinal analysis of the relationship between risk perception and actions in response to forest disturbance in Colorado

Based on ecological risk assessment of landscape from the perspective of Saihanba landscape pattern changes

Fire and Insect Interactions in North American Forests

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