In order to study the productivity dynamic evolution
laws of shale
gas horizontal well, a multiscale seepage theoretical model considering
the fluid–solid coupling effect is proposed first in this paper,
which introduces an anisotropic matrix permeability model that comprehensively
considers multiple flow regimes and an artificial hydraulic fracture
conductivity model that considers proppant deformation and embedment.
Then the reliability of the theoretical model is verified by the field
production data obtained from the Marcellus shale. Based on the established
productivity model, the evolution laws of pore pressure and permeability
in different areas of the reservoir with different production periods
are studied first, and then the shale gas production rate and cumulative
production under different physical mechanisms, different shale gas
flow regimes, and different reservoir parameters are quantified and
analyzed. The simulation results show that the pore pressure in the
hydraulic fracture area decreases rapidly at the initial stage of
production, resulting in large deformation, and the fracture conductivity
tends to be stable gradually at the later stage of production. The
desorption effect will increase shale gas production, while the stress
sensitivity is just the opposite. When only real gas flow is considered,
the gas cumulative production is the highest. The fluid–solid
coupling of hydraulic fractures has a great impact on the production,
while the fluid–solid coupling in the matrix area has a small
impact on the production, which can be ignored if appropriate. During
the sensitivity analysis of reservoir parameters, it is observed that
the influence of parameters of hydraulic fractures on production is
much higher than that of matrix regional parameters. During the production
process, these influencing factors can be adjusted according to the
change of production data to achieve the optimization of shale gas
production. In a word, the new model proposed in this paper provides
a more accurate method to estimate the impact of multiple physical
mechanisms, especially the fluid–solid coupling effect, on
shale gas production compared with the existing model. The research
results of this study can provide some reference and guidance for
the dynamic prediction of shale gas production and optimization of
production parameters.