Objectives
To prospectively assess the value of serum total bilirubin (TB) within 3 months of hepatoportoenterostomy (HPE) in infants with biliary atresia (BA) as a biomarker predictive of clinical sequelae of liver disease in the first two years of life.
Study design
Infants with BA undergoing HPE between June 2004-January 2011 were enrolled in a prospective, multicenter study. Complications were monitored until 2 years of age or the earliest of liver transplant (LT), death, or study withdrawal. TB below 2 mg/dL (34.2 μM) at any time in the first 3 months (TB<2.0, all others = TB≥2) after HPE was examined as a biomarker, using Kaplan-Meier survival and logistic regression.
Results
Fifty percent (68/137) of infants had TB<2.0 in the first 3 months after HPE. Transplant-free survival at 2 years was significantly higher in the TB<2.0 group vs. TB≥2 (86% vs. 20%, p<0.0001). Infants with TB≥2 had diminished weight gain (p<0.0001), greater probability of developing ascites (OR 6.4, 95% CI 2.9–14.1, p<0.0001), hypoalbuminemia (OR 7.6, 95% CI 3.2–17.7, p< 0.0001), coagulopathy (OR 10.8, 95% CI 3.1–38.2, p=0.0002), LT (OR 12.4, 95% CI 5.3–28.7, p<0.0001), or LT or death (OR 16.8, 95% CI 7.2–39.2, p<0.0001).
Conclusions
Infants whose TB does not fall below 2.0 mg/dL within 3 months of HPE were at high risk for early disease progression, suggesting they should be considered for LT in a timely fashion. Interventions increasing the likelihood of achieving TB <2.0 mg/dL within 3 months of HPE may enhance early outcomes.