2011
DOI: 10.1007/s10898-011-9741-y
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Expected improvement in efficient global optimization through bootstrapped kriging

Abstract: This article uses a sequentialized experimental design to select simulation input combinations for global optimization, based on Kriging (also called Gaussian process or spatial correlation modeling); this Kriging is used to analyze the input/output data of the simulation model (computer code). This design and analysis adapt the classic "expected improvement" (EI) in "efficient global optimization" (EGO) through the introduction of an improved estimator of the Kriging predictor variance; this estimator uses pa… Show more

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Cited by 92 publications
(16 citation statements)
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“…Knowles (2006), Ponweiser et al (2008), Zhang et al (2010) and Couckuyt, Deschrijver, and Dhaene (2014) developed extensions of EGO and the EI criterion to handle expensive multiobjective optimization. Kleijnen, van Beers, and van Nieuwenhuyse (2012) developed an improved variant of EGO that uses an unbiased boostrap estimator of the variance of the Kriging predictor. Marzat, Walter, and Piet-Lahanier (2013) combined EGO with a relaxation procedure to develop an algorithm for continuous minimax optimization of black-box functions.…”
Section: Related Workmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Knowles (2006), Ponweiser et al (2008), Zhang et al (2010) and Couckuyt, Deschrijver, and Dhaene (2014) developed extensions of EGO and the EI criterion to handle expensive multiobjective optimization. Kleijnen, van Beers, and van Nieuwenhuyse (2012) developed an improved variant of EGO that uses an unbiased boostrap estimator of the variance of the Kriging predictor. Marzat, Walter, and Piet-Lahanier (2013) combined EGO with a relaxation procedure to develop an algorithm for continuous minimax optimization of black-box functions.…”
Section: Related Workmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The seminal paper by Jones et al [102] which introduced the EGO algorithm for simulations with deterministic output, uses Kriging to interpolate between function values, and chooses future samples based on an expected improvement metric [140]. Examples of analogs to this for simulation optimization are provided in [93,118].…”
Section: Response Surface Methodologymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…An acquisition function is adopted to evaluate the system performance. There are different methods to formulate an acquisition function such as probability of improvement, 11 expected improvement 12 and upper confidence bound (UCB). 13 In this paper, we use UCB to evaluate the system performance based on the mean and variance.…”
Section: Proposed Solutionmentioning
confidence: 99%