Expectations in development economics

What do the data tell us about inflation expectations?

“…Hudomiet et al (2022) discuss additional details on the possible role of survey question wording, nudging, and other design features on respondents' answers.5 Bruine deBruin et al (2022) andDelavande (2022) discuss the issue of bin selection on subsequent responses.…”

Aspiring to a Better Future: Can a Simple Psychological Intervention Reduce Poverty?

“…We also measure the level of education respondents expect a child to reach in adulthood (the same child as in the aspirations measure) and combine the three measures into an inverse covarianceweighted average. Such measures are widely found to affect investment (Delavande, 2022).…”

“…Beliefs about these individual returns are broadly realistic, in that they are aligned with measures of actual returns from other work in this literature, as we discuss in Appendix G.2.2. Beliefs about returns to investment and/or labour supply predict investment in education, migration and economic activity in other settings (see Delavande (2022) for a review. )…”

For Better or Worse? Subjective Expectations and Cost-Benefit Trade-Offs in Health Behavior

“…For instance, a person may understand that going out -vis-à-vis never leaving home (the government's recommendation) -implies higher risk of contracting the virus and, if not motivated by one of the essential activities or reasons allowed by the lockdown rules, a positive risk of sanctions. Yet, the person might weigh these 8 We use measurement and econometric tools developed in a growing economic literature on survey expectations, reviewed from various perspectives by Manski (2004Manski ( , 2023, Attanasio (2009), Attanasio, Almas and Jervis (2020), Delavande (2014Delavande ( , 2023, Hurd (2009), Hudomiet, Hurd andRohwedder (2023), Giustinelli and Manski (2018), Giustinelli (2022, Bruine de Bruin et al (2023), Fuster and Zafar (2023), and Koşar and O'Dea (2023), among others. 9 We review the restrictions in detail in Section 2.…”