2018
DOI: 10.1089/ast.2017.1738
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Exoplanet Biosignatures: Future Directions

Abstract: We introduce a Bayesian method for guiding future directions for detection of life on exoplanets. We describe empirical and theoretical work necessary to place constraints on the relevant likelihoods, including those emerging from better understanding stellar environment, planetary climate and geophysics, geochemical cycling, the universalities of physics and chemistry, the contingencies of evolutionary history, the properties of life as an emergent complex system, and the mechanisms driving the emergence of l… Show more

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Cited by 96 publications
(111 citation statements)
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References 253 publications
(413 reference statements)
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“…Experiments like the James Webb Space Telescope [17] are expected to directly characterize the atmospheres of several Earth-sized planets [18], the disequilibrium of which will make it possible to infer the presence or absence of biospheres [19]. In addition, further afield, when the next generation of telescopes such as TMT, PLATO, HabEx, and LUVOIR will be able to deliver a large enough population to do meaningful statistics on atmospheric properties [20], we will be able to characterize the ubiquity of microbial life, as well as which environmental factors its presence correlates with [21].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Experiments like the James Webb Space Telescope [17] are expected to directly characterize the atmospheres of several Earth-sized planets [18], the disequilibrium of which will make it possible to infer the presence or absence of biospheres [19]. In addition, further afield, when the next generation of telescopes such as TMT, PLATO, HabEx, and LUVOIR will be able to deliver a large enough population to do meaningful statistics on atmospheric properties [20], we will be able to characterize the ubiquity of microbial life, as well as which environmental factors its presence correlates with [21].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Berdyugina et al, 2016). An excellent summary of recent advances in exoplanetary biosignature science can be found in a series of review papers from the NASA Nexus for Exoplanet System Science (NExSS) and Astrobiology Program, namely: Schwieterman et al (2018) who provide an all-round review of the topic; Meadows et al (2018) who focus on oxygen; Catling et al (2018) who discuss a Bayesian approach; Walker et al (2018) who propose future methods for biosignature assessment and Fujii et al (2018) who summarize future relevant missions. A review of atmospheric biosignatures with a focus on photochemical responses in an exoplanetary context is provided by Grenfell (2017).…”
Section: Earth-like Exoplanetsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This brings in layers of potentiality associated with evolution and historical contingency (to be clear, a contingent process is not the same as a random process [e.g., Bohm, 1957]). The approach to planetary life research would, as a result, need to move toward one that is more statistical/probabilistic than it is at present [Walker et al, 2018].…”
Section: Different Is Morementioning
confidence: 99%