2018
DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2018-37
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Exchange rates expectations and chaotic dynamics: a replication study

Abstract: In this paper the author analyzes the behavior of exchange rates expectations for four currencies, by considering a re-calculation and an extension of Resende and Zeidan (Expectations and chaotic dynamics: empirical evidence on exchange rates, Economics Letters, 2008). Considering Lyapunov exponent-based tests results, they are not supportive of chaos in exchange rates expectations, although the so-called 0-1 test strongly supports the chaos hypothesis.

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“…Figure 6 shows that a chaotic attractor exists in system (22). Following the 0-1 test algorithm [82][83][84][85][86][87][88][89], we sample 10,000 data points from p 1 (n) and set a random number c ∈ π 5 , 4π 5 satisfies µ(n), ν(n) , as follows…”
Section: -1 Test For Chaosmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Figure 6 shows that a chaotic attractor exists in system (22). Following the 0-1 test algorithm [82][83][84][85][86][87][88][89], we sample 10,000 data points from p 1 (n) and set a random number c ∈ π 5 , 4π 5 satisfies µ(n), ν(n) , as follows…”
Section: -1 Test For Chaosmentioning
confidence: 99%