Examining the link between terrorism and tourism demand: the case of Egypt

Polyzos, Stathis; Papadopoulou, Georgia; Xesfingi, Sofia

doi:10.1080/19407963.2021.1904965

Cited by 9 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 59 publications

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“…Neumayer (2004) studied political violence and tourist arrivals, Araña and León (2008) explored the relationship between terrorism and tourism demand and Ivanov et al (2017) investigated the impact of political instability on economic parameters and tourist arrivals. Recently, Polyzos et al (2021) in Egypt, Hanon and Wang (2020) in Syria, Isaac and Van der Bedem (2020) in The Netherlands and Álvarez-Díaz et al (2019) in Catalonia have also examined the fate of the tourism industry in politically unstable circumstances. In India, Dhariwal (2005) and Parida et al (2017) studied the causality between political instability and internal conflicts using the autoregressive-distributed lag (ARDL) approach.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Conflicts and tourists’ destination choice intention: a study of Kashmir Valley in India

Fazili

Charag²,

Bashir

et al. 2023

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Purpose This study aims to extend the theory of planned behaviour (TPB) to develop finer understanding about tourist’s attitude and intention towards visiting a politically unstable and conflict-ridden destination such as Kashmir. Design/methodology/approach A research instrument adapted from previous studies is administered on 490 tourists. The data collected is subjected to exploratory factor analysis followed by structural equation modelling using SPSS and AMOS. The study tests and validates a more robust behavioural prediction model grounded on the TPB. Findings The results of the study found that the tourists’ destination choice intention in a politically sensitive area such as Jammu and Kashmir is collectively determined by perceived destination attractiveness, perceived destination image, familiarity with place, media exposure and perceived value. However, quite interestingly, perceived risk and attitude were found to be insignificant determinants of choice intentionality. Research limitations/implications The study empirically validates extended TPB to predict tourist behaviour in a politically sensitive setting. Furthermore, the study provides vital inputs to the destination managers, policy makers and practitioners to develop strategies to enhance destination image and attractiveness. Although the study provides critical insights into the tourist’s decision-making process, nonetheless, certain limitations, such as restricted geographical approach, convenience sampling and ignoring the inter-group variations, warrant attention. Originality/value The study is essentially a pioneering effort in applying an integrated TPB model in determining destination choice intentionality in a politically sensitive region of Jammu and Kashmir. The region has the potential to be one of the best destinations in the world. Therefore, studying the tourist perceptions and attitudes and intention towards Kashmir could help the local government and other destination management organizations in charting future courses of action.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Conflicts and tourists’ destination choice intention: a study of Kashmir Valley in India

Fazili

Charag²,

Bashir

et al. 2023

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“…On the contrary, other studies view that tourism dependent on criminal activity, typology of crimes, and socioeconomic factors (Bassil et al, 2019;Fourie et al, 2020;Pappa et al, 2023;Zhang & Xiang, 2022). Several authors proved that crime and terror are related to the decline in the rate of tourist arrival, tourist activities, and tourism support among the community (Akamavi et al, 2023;Awan et al, 2023;Beha, 2023;Buigut et al, 2022;Fauzel & Seetanah, 2023;Lee et al, 2018;Polyzos et al, 2023;Raifu et al, 2022;Zaida & Attiab, 2023).…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Crime Hallmark Nexus Between Tourism Support and Destination: Empirical Standpoint of Social Control Theory

2024

PJC

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The focus of the study is on types of crime and their relationship with tourism destinations and tourism support among northern tourist areas. The main objective of the study was to shed light on the types of crime and their association with tourism destinations and tourism support with the framework of the social control theoretical model (inner and outer control). Face-to-face quantitative data was collected from (n=501) respondents. The study analyzed data with partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM version 4). The path analysis showed that crimes against persons, property, and victimless crime significantly decreased tourism support. A similar phenomenon, such as crimes against person and property, decreased tourism destinations, and victimless crime was insignificant. Based on the study’s findings, the results concluded that types of crime have made unsuccessful tourism support and tourism destination in the northern region. The study put forward recommendations to policymakers that criminal activities should be controlled through crime control systems among different tourist destinations in northern areas.

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“…They found that terrorists' attacks had a powerful positive effect on tourist arrivals and confirmed the presence of terrorism spillover effect using vector auto regressive model. Polyzos, Papadopoulou, and Xesfingi (2021) explored the link between tourist demand and terrorism in Egypt using monthly data for the period from 1995 to 2018. That study used Vector Autoregressive Model with Error Correction.…”

Section: Tourism Growth and Terrorismmentioning

confidence: 99%

Effect of Natural Disasters and Terrorism on Tourism Growth: Evidence from Top Ten Tourist’s Destination

2022

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Tourism is influenced by a wide range of factors and forces including exogenous ones that have no direct link to the tourism industry. Terrorism and natural disasters are two examples of such factors. Individuals, organizations and culture, all are affected by them. This study analyzes the impact of natural disasters and terrorism on tourism growth by using a panel data for the period 1995-2019 collected from a variety of sources. Tourism is the dependent variable whereas natural disasters, terrorism are independent and economic growth, tourism employment, tourism investment and alcohol consumption are the control variables of the study. This study used pooled mean group and robust least square estimation. The findings show that natural disasters and terrorism have varying degrees of impact on tourism growth. While there is a positive outcome in some situations, the overall influence is negative. Findings of the study suggest that understanding the relationship between natural disasters, terrorism, and tourism is beneficial to destination operators who are responsible for rehabilitation, restoration, and promotion.

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Examining the link between terrorism and tourism demand: the case of Egypt

Cited by 9 publications

References 59 publications

Conflicts and tourists’ destination choice intention: a study of Kashmir Valley in India

Conflicts and tourists’ destination choice intention: a study of Kashmir Valley in India

Crime Hallmark Nexus Between Tourism Support and Destination: Empirical Standpoint of Social Control Theory

Effect of Natural Disasters and Terrorism on Tourism Growth: Evidence from Top Ten Tourist’s Destination

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