Ex-post assessment of climate and hydrological projections: reliability of CMPI6 outputs in Northern Italy
Flavia Fuso,
Giovanni Martino Bombelli,
Daniele Bocchiola
Abstract:This paper presents a validation of outputs from some GCMs of the CMIP6 project when used to assess climate projection and hydrological flows at a catchment scale for the case study area of the Lombardy region (Northern Italy). The modeling chain consists of (i) a choice of climatic scenarios from 10 GCMs of the CMIP6, (ii) the application of a stochastic downscaling procedure to make projections usable at the local scale, and (iii) the use of a semi-distributed physically based hydrological model Poli-Hydro f… Show more
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