2020
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-34316-3_7
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Everettian Probabilities, The Deutsch-Wallace Theorem and the Principal Principle

Abstract: Chance, when strictly examined, is a mere negative word, and means not any real power which has anywhere a being in nature. David Hume (Hume, 2008) [The Deutsch-Wallace theorem] permits what philosophy would hitherto have regarded as a formal impossibility, akin to deriving an ought from an is, namely deriving a probability statement from a factual statement. This could be called deriving a tends to from a does. David Deutsch (Deutsch, 1999) [The Deutsch-Wallace theorem] is a landmark in decision theory. Nothi… Show more

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Cited by 6 publications
(5 citation statements)
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“…The status of the Principal Principle in decision-theoretic approaches to probability in Everett quantum mechanics is discussed in[67], and a derivation thereof in the context of non-Everett quantum mechanics is given in[68] 14. The idea that preclusion explains evolution which then explains subjective probability was presented in my previous paper[53], though not the supporting model of Secs.…”
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confidence: 99%
“…The status of the Principal Principle in decision-theoretic approaches to probability in Everett quantum mechanics is discussed in[67], and a derivation thereof in the context of non-Everett quantum mechanics is given in[68] 14. The idea that preclusion explains evolution which then explains subjective probability was presented in my previous paper[53], though not the supporting model of Secs.…”
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confidence: 99%
“…We have just dealt with the objection, for example in Albert (2016), that betting behaviour cannot be explanatory of the observed statistics. There is also the radical proposal, proposed by Deutsch (2016) and Brown and Porath (2020), that physical probability simply has no meaning in the Everett interpretation, and there are only agent-specific personal probabilities. But ratios in branch numbers are physical, and in view of the similarities with naïve frequentism, to deny that they have anything to do with probability seems capricious.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For those who doubt the existence of chances, the import of the DW theorem will be slightly different; rather than providing a basis for reifying the branch weights as chances, the theorem will simply be taken to show that, within EQM, it is possible both to make sense of probabilistic claims and to derive the Born rule, providing the probabilities therein are understood as (rationally constrained) credences. See for example Deutsch (1999, 3136); Brown and Porath (2020) provide an extensive defence of this view.…”
Section: The Gm Approachmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…
I defend the Deutsch-Wallace (DW) theorem against a dilemma presented by Dawid and Thébault (2014), and endorsed in part by Read (2018), andBrown andPorath (2020), according to which the theorem is either redundant or in conflict with general frequency-tochance inferences. I argue that neither horn of the dilemma is wellposed.
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confidence: 99%