2014
DOI: 10.1038/clpt.2014.4
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Evaluation of Tumor Size Response Metrics to Predict Survival in Oncology Clinical Trials

Abstract: Model-based drug development in oncology is still lagging despite a good momentum in the clinical pharmacology and pharmacometry community in the past few years. The failure rate of late-stage oncology studies is one of the highest across therapeutic areas. The modeling of the relationship between longitudinal tumor size and overall survival has been proposed to enhance learning in early clinical studies, to predict overall survival, and to simulate clinical trials. This approach has the potential to support p… Show more

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Cited by 60 publications
(102 citation statements)
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References 54 publications
(67 reference statements)
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“…It is important, however, to ensure that there is a good understanding of the relationship between the target and the biomarker. The use of tumor size can be an important effect marker especially when continuous tumor size reduction is used as a continuous variable rather than a categorical variable as in the RECIST categories (11,12). The proposed approach could target a wide range of doses (5-fold or greater) that includes a minimal effective dose and an MTD.…”
Section: New Approachesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…It is important, however, to ensure that there is a good understanding of the relationship between the target and the biomarker. The use of tumor size can be an important effect marker especially when continuous tumor size reduction is used as a continuous variable rather than a categorical variable as in the RECIST categories (11,12). The proposed approach could target a wide range of doses (5-fold or greater) that includes a minimal effective dose and an MTD.…”
Section: New Approachesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For many mAbs, target engagement has been an important dosedriving marker. The use of tumor size can be an important effect marker for making decisions early in development, especially (and with more statistical power) when continuous tumor size reduction is used directly without discretization into the RECIST categories (40,41). Sometimes toxicity, such as neutropenia, can also be a useful effect marker.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Recently, the limitation of ER analysis based on one dose level and a potential “false positive” ER relationship due to confounding factors for biologics have been acknowledged. Various approaches have been explored to address the confounding factors in ER analysis, such as incorporating case–control comparison, time‐varying CL, and TGI 23, 34, 43, 44, 45…”
Section: Future Opportunitiesmentioning
confidence: 99%