Evaluation of reanalysis data in the study of meteorological and hydrological droughts in the Magdalena-Cauca river basin, Colombia

Abstract

Droughts are a natural phenomenon of water deficit and represent one of the most dangerous natural hazards to human activities; accordingly, its understanding and monitoring are vital. For doing this, long historical series of precipitation and evapotranspiration are considered; however, the sources of this observed information on land are usually limited spatially and temporally. Consequently, the use of complementary sources of information, such as reanalysis, is appropriate in areas with scarce information. Thus, we have evaluated the use of the reanalysis databases of the eartH2Observe project (WFDEI & MSWEP) in the Magdalena-Cauca river basin in Colombia, through the calculation of three drought indicators (SPI, SPEI & WCI). The indices calculated with the in-situ data identified ten drought events of great affectation in the basin. Applying statistical and a Bootstrap uncertainty analysis, we evaluate the performance of the reanalysis, finding that the use of the MSWEP precipitation product has a good potential for the analysis of droughts in Colombia