Evaluation and climate sensitivity of the PlaSim v.17 Earth System Model coupled with ocean model components of different complexity

Abstract

Abstract. A set of experiments is performed with coupled atmosphere-ocean configurations of the Planet Simulator, an Earth-system Model of Intermediate Complexity (EMIC), in order to identify under which set of parameters the model output better agrees with observations and reanalyses of the present climate. Different model configurations are explored, in which the atmospheric module of PlaSim is coupled with two possible ocean models, either a simple mixed-layer (ML) ocean with a diffusive transport parameterization or a more complex dynamical Large-Scale Geostrophic (LSG) ocean, together with a sea-ice module. In order to achieve a more realistic representation of present-day climate, we performed a preliminary tuning of the oceanic horizontal diffusion coefficient for the ML ocean and of the vertical oceanic diffusion profile when using LSG. Model runs under present-day conditions are compared, in terms of surface air temperature, sea surface temperature, sea ice cover, precipitation, radiation fluxes, ocean circulation, with a reference climate from observations and reanalyses. Our results indicate that, in all configurations, coupled PlaSim configurations are able to reproduce the main characteristics of the climate system, with the exception of the Southern Ocean region in the PlaSim-LSG model, where surface air and sea surface temperatures are warm-biased and sea ice cover is by consequence highly underestimated. The resulting sets of tuned parameters are used to perform a series of model equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) experiments, with the aim to identify the main mechanisms contributing to differences between the different configurations and leading to elevated values of ECS. In fact, high resulting global ECS values are found, positioned in the upper range of CMIP5 and recent CMIP6 estimates. Our analysis shows that a significant contribution to ECS is given by the sea-ice feedback mechanisms and by details of the parameterization of meridional oceanic heat transport. In particular, the configurations using a diffusive heat transport in the mixed layer present an important sensitivity in terms of radiative forcing to changes in sea-ice cover, leading to an important contribution of sea-ice feedback mechanisms to ECS.

High-latitude precipitation as a driver of multicentennial variability of the AMOC in a climate model of intermediate complexity

“…The large-scale characteristics of the AMOC in PlaSim-LSG strongly depend on the chosen values for this parametrization, especially on the vertical diffusivity in the upper ocean layers. In a preliminary study (Angeloni et al, 2020), we kept the bottom diffusivity A v (6000 m) as well as λ = 4.5 • 10 −3 m −1 and z * = 2500 m fixed, and identified different AMOC regimes for different values of A v (0) in PlaSim-LSG (Fig. 1): For low upper ocean diffusivities (A v (0) ≲ 0.2 cm 2 s −1 ), the AMOC collapses.…”

High-latitude precipitation as a driver of multicentennial variability of the AMOC in a climate model of intermediate complexity

“…The large-scale characteristics of the AMOC in PlaSim-LSG strongly depend on the chosen values for this parametrization, especially on the vertical diffusivity in the upper ocean layers. In a preliminary study (Angeloni et al 2020), we kept the bottom diffusivity A v (6000 m) as well as = 4.5 × 10 −3 m −1 and z * = 2500 m fixed, and identified different AMOC regimes for different values of A v (0) in PlaSim-LSG (Fig. 1): For low upper ocean diffusivities (A v (0) ≲ 0.2 cm 2 s −1 ), the AMOC collapses.…”