Evaluating the sustainability of Volgograd

Abstract

The accumulated industrial base of major Russian cities, carrying the burden of the economical transformations combined with the existing state-municipal management system, requires the determination of effective ways for further improvement of the city analysis development plans.The purpose of this study is to consider the issues of assessing the sustainability of the city operation and development. The proposed approach allows us to evaluate the current state and compare different scenarios.For the formation of the indicators state of the system we used H. Bossel methods (Indicators of Sustainable Development: Theory, method, practical use, 2001). Identification of factors that need to be corrected was made on the basis of "star benchmarks". Analysis of factors that characterize the processes of change in the urban environment allows a reasonable approach in the process of selecting projects of development and transformation of the city. This paper presents an approach to the analysis of scenarios for the city of Volgograd from the position of sustainable development. Using the methodology of cognitive modeling allows us to evaluate the effectiveness of decision-making and analyzing the dynamics of a situation when implementing the different scenarios.On the basis of the study and the simulation results, we have made proposals that improve the sustainability of the urban system. A set of activities oriented towards improving the subsystems of a "local community", an "urban environment" and "life activity processes" should form factors of sustainable urban development.

Cognitive and ontological modeling for decision support in the tasks of the urban transportation system development management

“…Among these groups can be distinguished population, the city administration and various business entities. It should be noted that interests of the population, government and business do not always lie in the same plane that frequently leads to additional problems [3].…”

LCT-Based Framework for the Assessment of Sustainability: From the Perspective of Literature Review

“…This will assist the decision-makers in exploring various potential strategies regarding the project. Backcasting, forecasting, and foresight are the three-scenario development approaches for planning and policymaking (Dixon et al, 2014;McPhearson et al, 2016;Sadovnikova et al, 2013). Specifically, backcasting requires backward planning from a particular set of goals or desired future endpoint to the current state to determine the feasibility of that future viewpoint and the policy measures essential to achieving that state (González-González et al, 2020).…”

Tools and Technologies for Sustainable Territorial Development in the Context of a Quadruple Innovation Helix

“…The experts directly solved the problem of identifying relationships for the identified elements of the system at the second iteration. The relationships between the elements should have been presented in the form of simple logical constructions "A to B negative/positive with W", where A and B are the compared elements of the system and W is the impact strength on a scale from zero to one [53]. Each expert in the group initially established (step 4) 92 to 151 such relationships.…”

“…The state and structure of the urban environment is determined by many explicit and hidden interrelationships of various factors [13]. These factors are directly related to the goals of the urban development actors, which are usually very difficult to reconcile.…”