Physical
composition of municipal solid waste (PCMSW) is the fundamental
parameter in domestic waste management; however, high fidelity, wide
coverage, upscaling, and year continuous data sets of PCMSW in China
are insufficient. A traceable and predictable methodology for estimating
PCMSW in China is established for the first time by analyzing 503
PCMSW data sets of 135 prefecture-level cities in China. A hyperspherical
transformation method was used to eliminate the constant sum constraint
in statistically analyzing PCMSW data. Moreover, a back-propagation
(BP) neural network methodology was applied to establish quantitative
models between city-level PCMSW and its socio-economic factors, including
city size, per capita gross regional product, geographical location,
gas coverage rate, and year. Results show that (1) national-level
PCMSW in 2017 was estimated as organic fraction (53.7%), ash and stone
(8.3%), paper (16.9%), plastic and rubber (13.6%), textile (2.3%),
wood (2.2%), metal (0.6%), glass (1.5%), and others (1.0%); (2) organic
fraction, paper, and plastics showed an increasing trend from 1990
to 2017, while ash and stone decreased significantly; (3) organic
fractions in East, North, and Central-South China were higher than
those in other regions. This enables us to fill the data gap in the
practice of municipal solid waste management in China.