EU Enlargement under Continued Mobility Restrictions: Consequences for the German Labor Market

Brenke, Karl; Yuksel, Mutlu; Zimmermann, Klaus F.

doi:10.1007/978-3-642-02242-5_4

Cited by 26 publications

(26 citation statements)

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“…Doyle et al (2006), Hughes (2007) and Barrett (2010) report that even in Ireland, with the highest relative inflows from the new member states, effects on the aggregate unemployment rate could not be detected, although some substitution might have occurred. Brenke et al (2010) point at competition for low-skilled jobs between the immigrants from Central and Eastern European (CEE) states that entered the EU in 2004 (EU8), and immigrants from outside of Europe. Similarly, Blanchflower and Lawton (2010) report some substitution in low skilled sectors.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

The economic impact of east–west migration on the European Union

Kahanec

Pytlíková

2017

Empirica

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This study contributes to the literature on destination-country consequences of international migration, with investigations on the effects of immigration from new EU member states and Eastern Partnership countries on the economies of old EU member states during the years 1995-2010. Using a rich international migration dataset and an empirical model accounting for the endogeneity of migration flows, we find positive and significant effects of post-enlargement migration flows from new EU member states on old member states' GDP, GDP per capita, and employment rate, and a negative effect on output per worker. We also find small, but statistically significant negative effects of migration from Eastern Partnership countries on receiving countries' GDP, GDP per capita, employment rate, and capital stock, but a positive significant effect on capital-to-labor ratio. These results mark an economic success of the EU's eastern enlargements and free movement of workers in an enlarged EU.

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Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

The economic impact of east–west migration on the European Union

Kahanec

Pytlíková

2017

Empirica

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“…Of all these countries, however, only the German statistics show a considerable increase in inows from Lithuania. As shown by Brenke et al (2009), the annual inow of Lithuanians increased from 2,775 before EU Enlargement to more than 4,000 from 2004 onwards. Russia, Sweden, Denmark, and Finland did somewhat surprisingly not see a large inow of Lithuanians.…”

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confidence: 93%

Does emigration benefit the stayers? Evidence from EU enlargement

Elsner

2012

J Popul Econ

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“…However, on the basis of administrative data, Brenke et al (2009) find that the average attainment among recent male NMS8 migrants is lower than that among any other immigrant group from non-EU countries. …”

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confidence: 86%

“…The sudden increase in migrants from the new member states suggests that many may have taken this route and indeed Brenke, Yuksel and Zimmerman (2009) find that half of the employed NMS8 migrants are self-employed. Non EU OECD Non EU Non OECD suggesting that, as in the UK, labour migrants may have been insulated from the supply side shock prompted by EU enlargement.…”

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confidence: 99%

The Impact of Intra-EU Mobility on Immigration by Third-Country Foreign Workers

2016

OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Papers

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JT03398563Complete document available on OLIS in its original format This document and any map included herein are without prejudice to the status of or sovereignty over any territory, to the delimitation of international frontiers and boundaries and to the name of any territory, city or area.DELSA/ELSA/WD/SEM (2016) This series is designed to make available to a wider readership selected labour market, social policy and migration studies prepared for use within the OECD. Authorship is usually collective, but principal writers are named. The papers are generally available only in their original language -English or Frenchwith a summary in the other. This document and any map included herein are without prejudice to the status of or sovereignty over any territory, to the delimitation of international frontiers and boundaries and to the name of any territory, city or area. This document has been produced with the financial assistance of the European Union. The views expressed herein can in no way be taken to reflect the official opinion of the European Union.Grant: HOME/2013/EIFX/CA/002 / 30-CE-0615920/00-38 (DI130895) A previous version of this paper (DELSA/ELSA/MI(2015)10) was presented and discussed at the OECD working party on migration in June 2015This paper examines the impact of the free flow of migrants within the EU on the prospects of labour migrants from third countries -the extent to which free movement migrants and third country migrants are substitutes or complements on the labour market. The first section of this paper looks at the recent trends in migration to the European Union, with a particular focus on trends in the 'big five' recipient countries. The analysis is supplemented by the use of micro data from the EU Labour Force Survey, to examine the extent to which the socio-economic and job characteristics suggest that EU migrants and third country migrants provide a similar labour input. Aggregate migrant flows, however, are driven by both supply and demand factors; a comparison of aggregate trends is therefore insufficient to disentangle the disparate drivers of these trends. A booming economy, for example, will attract labour migrants from both EU and third countries, yet the positive relation between these flows cannot be attributed to a complementarity between these labour inputs but rather to the demand side factors that drive them both. To overcome this endogeneity the second section of this paper utilizes the natural experiment of EU enlargement to isolate the impact of the increased supply of free movement migrants on third country migrant populations. Abstracting in this manner from the economic factors that have played such an important role in determining labour demand in recent years the empirical analysis of this paper identifies a negative impact on the arrivals of third country migrants when labour supply from new EU migrants increases. Furthermore, the lack of identifiable impact on the employment rate of third country migrants is dependent on assumptions regarding the counterfa...

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EU Enlargement under Continued Mobility Restrictions: Consequences for the German Labor Market

Cited by 26 publications

References 4 publications

The economic impact of east–west migration on the European Union

The economic impact of east–west migration on the European Union

Does emigration benefit the stayers? Evidence from EU enlargement

The Impact of Intra-EU Mobility on Immigration by Third-Country Foreign Workers

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