Estimation of the 10-Year Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease and The Framingham Risk Score Among Adults Living with HIV/AIDS in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia: A Hospital-Based, Observational Study.

Abstract

Background With a much improved ART of the present day, most morbidities and mortalities in people living with HIV/AIDS (PLWHA) are associated with factors such as non-infectious diseases (NIDs) in the form of coronary heart disease (CHD). This study aimed at determining the prevalence and predictors of coronary heart disease (CHD) using the 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) and Framingham risk score (FRS) tools among PLWHA. Methods A hospital-based, observational study was carried out from January 2019 to February 2020 in HIV infected adults. Prevalence of FRS (age 20 to 79) was determined using the National, Heart, Lung and Blood Institute (NHLBI) and prevalence of ASCVD (age 40 to 79) was determined using the peer-reviewed online (ClinCalc.com) tool. Results Using the 10-years ASCVD risk estimation 27.3% of the study participants had an elevated risk > 7.5 % CHD. Similarly using the 10-year FRS, 1.4 % had high-risk score of developing CHD. Using multiple linear regression analysis age (β = .061, p < .001), gender (β = .816, p < .001), systolic blood pressure (β = .21, p < .001), total cholestrol (β = .002, p = .001), high density lipoprotein (β = − .02, p < .001), and Tobacco use (β = .559, p < .001) had significant contribution to the risk of CHD using the ASCVD tool, while using binary logistic regression for the FRS tool, gender (OR = 26.105, 95% C.I. [6.110, 111,543], p < 0.001), age (OR = 1.293, 95% C.I. [1.181, 1.415], P < 0.001), and low HDL-C (OR = 0.887, 95% C.I. [.786, .979], P = 0.19) had significant contribution. Conclusions The prevalence of high-risk CHD among PLWHA using the FRS and ASCVD tools were 1.4 & 27.3 percent respectively. In both the tools advanced age, male gender, and low level HDL were significant contributor for the risk of CHD in PLWHA.