Estimation of reliability of TPS as a complex system using logical probabilistic methods

Abstract

The existing regulatory requirements for reliability assessment and the economic necessity of this assessment are considered. Modern methods and approaches to assessing quantitative indicators of reliability of structurally complex systems, such as thermal power plants, are presented. The expediency of using software systems for calculating reliability based on the General logical-probabilistic method is proved. On the example of one power unit, the application of a domestic software package for modeling and calculating reliability and safety using logical-probabilistic research methods is clearly presented. The existing problems of forecasting reliability indicators after the technical impact are described.