Estimation of prognosis in patients after decompressive craniectomy after malignant hemispheric infarction: multifactorial scoring scale

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Patient's age is considered to be one of the most relevant factors in selecting surgical candidates for decompressive hemicraniectomy after malignant hemispheric infarction. However, questions about surgical indication in older patients, patients with consciousness disorder or patients with large infarctions remain unanswered. OBJECTIVE: Our aim was to design a multifactorial scoring scale based on a combination of patient-specific factors in order to optimize the assessment of prognosis in patients after hemicraniectomy malignant strokes. METHODS: In this prospective observational study with a one-year follow-up, we assessed clinical and imaging data of patients who underwent decompressive hemicraniectomy due to malignant brain infarction. Barthel index was used as a single outcome measure to distinguish favorable vs. unfavorable outcomes. Associations between multiple variables and clinical outcome were assessed. Subsequently, a design of a predictive scoring system was proposed. RESULTS: Age of the patient, preoperative level of consciousness, midline shift, and volume of infarction showed a significant association with postoperative Barthel index. According to the identified factors, a multifactorial prognostic scoring system was introduced, aimed to distinguish between favorable and unfavorable outcomes. Using ROC analysis, it has achieved an AUC of 0.74 (95%CI 0.58-0.89, p=0.01) CONCLUSIONS: Prediction of postoperative outcome should be based on multiple variables. Our scale, based on the clinical and imaging data, can be used during decision-making to estimate potential benefit of decompressive craniectomy in patients after malignant brain infarction (Tab. 5, Fig. 1, Ref. 32).