Estimation of Individual Crime Rates from Arrest Records

Blumstein, Alfred; Cohen, Jacqueline

doi:10.2307/1142642

Cited by 212 publications

(89 citation statements)

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“…A second study using the RAND inmate survey found that almost 50% of the sample reported auto theft as their first serious crime and 30% stated that burglary was their first serious crime (Petersilia et al 1978). Using arrest histories to examine rates of burglary offending, Blumstein and Cohen (1987) found an average of 5.7 burglaries committed per year and Cohen (1981Cohen ( , 1983 found an average of 5.3 burglaries per year by an individual. When self-report data is used, such as the Rand Inmate Surveys, these numbers change dramatically.…”

Section: Characteristics Of Suspects In High Volume Crimesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Using the second inmate survey, Chaiken and Chaiken (1982) found a range of 116-204 burglaries per year committed by incoming prisoners, Visher (1986) found that both prison and jail inmates reported an average of 98.8 burglaries a year and Chaiken and Rolph (1985) found an average of 114.6 burglaries per year. In a study by Blumstein and Cohen (1987) using arrest histories of cohorts of active offenders, the authors found that there was an increase in arrest rate with age for burglary and narcotics. Overall, we find that suspects identified within the test cohort were significantly more likely to have more prior felony arrests and convictions, and more prior misdemeanor arrests and convictions.…”

Section: Characteristics Of Suspects In High Volume Crimesmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The DNA field experiment: a randomized trial of the cost-effectiveness of using DNA to solve property crimes

et al. 2009

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We report the results of a prospective, randomized study of the impact and cost-effectiveness of DNA evidence in investigating property crimes, mainly residential burglary. Biological evidence was collected at up to 500 crime scenes in five U.S. cities between 2005 and 2007, and cases were randomly assigned to the treatment and control groups in equal numbers. DNA processing was added to traditional investigation in the treatment group. A suspect was identified in 31% of treatment cases and 13% of control cases. A suspect was arrested in 22% of treatment cases and 10% of control cases. Across the five sites, each additional arrest-an arrest that would not have occurred without DNA processing-cost slightly more than US $14,000. In the most cost-effective sites, an additional arrest cost less than US$4,000. Expanding the use of DNA as an investigative tool has profound implications. Since DNA-led investigations are more costly than business-as-usual, substantial investments will be required to expand the capacity of crime laboratories, police, and prosecutors to use this investigative tool efficiently. In time, such a change may also impact the types of crimes of cases processed in the criminal justice system.

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Section: Characteristics Of Suspects In High Volume Crimesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Characteristics Of Suspects In High Volume Crimesmentioning

confidence: 99%

The DNA field experiment: a randomized trial of the cost-effectiveness of using DNA to solve property crimes

et al. 2009

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“…La première consiste à combiner trois informations : 1) le nombre d'arrestations par détenu par année de liberté ; 2) les taux de solution (le nombre de délits qui conduisent à une arrestation sur le nombre de délits connus de la police) ; et 3) les taux de dénonciation (le pourcentage des délits connus par les « sondages de victimisation » qui sont rapportés à la police). Cette méthode a été utilisée par Blumstein et Cohen (1979). Ils ont ainsi calculé que le nombre moyen annuel de crimes commis par des détenus de Washington, D.C., se situait entre 9 et 17.…”

Section: La Neutralisation A-t-elle Un Impact Sur La Criminalité ?unclassified

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Cusson¹

2006

Classiques Des Sciences Sociales.

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“…These spots where crime is concentrated at high rates over extended periods of time may be analogous to the small percentage of criminals who are responsible for a large percentage of crime (Blumstein & Cohen, 1979;Brantingham & Brantingham, 1982). Crime studies that examine the spatial distribution of crime clearly demonstrate that certain landuses and population characteristics are associated with crime hotspots.…”

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confidence: 99%