2011
DOI: 10.1097/igc.0b013e31820c4cd6
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Estimating the Risk of Endometrial Cancer in Symptomatic Postmenopausal Women: A Novel Clinical Prediction Model Based on Patients' Characteristics

Abstract: We have developed a simple model based on patients' clinical characteristics in estimating the risk of endometrial cancer for postmenopausal women presenting with vaginal bleeding. The model shows reasonable discriminatory ability for women with cancer and without, with an area under the receiver operating characteristics curve of 0.73. This will allow clinicians to individualize the diagnostic pathway for women with postmenopausal vaginal bleeding.

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Cited by 30 publications
(33 citation statements)
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References 22 publications
(16 reference statements)
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“…2 Postmenopausal bleeding is the most common symptom of endometrial cancer, but this is a relatively common complaint; and fewer than 10% of women with bleeding after menopause are found to have a cancer. 3 Current noninvasive testing for identifying endometrial cancer with ultrasound imaging in women is useful when the test is negative (the negative predictive value is 999% for women with an endometrial thickness e4 mm), but the value of the imaging is significantly reduced when positive. 4 Many women will be subjected to invasive procedures, such as an endometrial biopsy taken during an endoscopic assessment of the endometrium.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…2 Postmenopausal bleeding is the most common symptom of endometrial cancer, but this is a relatively common complaint; and fewer than 10% of women with bleeding after menopause are found to have a cancer. 3 Current noninvasive testing for identifying endometrial cancer with ultrasound imaging in women is useful when the test is negative (the negative predictive value is 999% for women with an endometrial thickness e4 mm), but the value of the imaging is significantly reduced when positive. 4 Many women will be subjected to invasive procedures, such as an endometrial biopsy taken during an endoscopic assessment of the endometrium.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Other identified risk factors include obesity, diabetes mellitus, increasing age, nulliparity and hypertension. 22 Since this patient has multiple risk factors for developing endometrial malignancy, the provider can easily use one of the predictive models such as the DFAB (D stands for diabetes mellitus, F for frequency of bleeding episodes, A for age, and B for BMI cut off value of 31) 23,24 to estimate the risk of endometrial cancer (Table 3). DFAB score ≥ 4 has a sensitivity of 81.8% and specificity of 50.8% in detecting endometrial malignancy.…”
Section: What Happens If Ebm Approach Is Used In Management Of This Cmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Several prediction models for the risk of developing endometrial cancer have been evaluated in general population, and in women with postmenopausal bleeding . Prediction models can help identifying asymptomatic women at high risk of developing endometrial carcinoma, and as well facilitating early diagnosis in symptomatic women.…”
Section: High‐risk Populationsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Several prediction models for the risk of developing endometrial cancer have been evaluated in general population, [56][57][58] and in women with postmenopausal bleeding. [59][60][61][62] Prediction models can help identifying asymptomatic women at high risk of developing endometrial carcinoma, and as well facilitating early diagnosis in symptomatic women. However, current models usually lack external validation, and should probably be extended with new genetic and epigenetic biomarkers in order to improve models performance.…”
Section: High-risk Populationsmentioning
confidence: 99%