Abstract:A basic sampling scheme is proposed to estimate the proportion of sampled units (Spotted Owl Habitat Areas (SOHAs) or randomly sampled 1000-acre polygon areas (RSAs)) occupied by spotted owl pairs. A bias adjustment for the possibility of missing a pair given its presence on a SOHA or RSA is suggested. The sampling scheme is based on a fixed number of visits to a sample unit (a SOHA or RSA) in which the occupancy is to be determined. Once occupancy is determined, or the maximum number of visits is reached, the… Show more
“…Estimating the proportion of a geographical area occupied by a particular species from such data has been considered useful in long-term monitoring programs and metapopulation studies (Azuma et al, 1990;MacKenzie et al, 2004). A particular concern of using detection-nondetection data is the presence of false-negative (or false-absence) errors.…”
“…Estimating the proportion of a geographical area occupied by a particular species from such data has been considered useful in long-term monitoring programs and metapopulation studies (Azuma et al, 1990;MacKenzie et al, 2004). A particular concern of using detection-nondetection data is the presence of false-negative (or false-absence) errors.…”
“…There have been a number of different approaches to the problem of estimating the fraction of sites occupied by a species that is imperfectly detected (Giessler & Fuller, 1987;Azuma, Baldwin & Noon, 1990;MacKenzie et al, 2002;Tyre et al, 2003), although here the method of MacKenzie et al (2002) is reviewed as it allows for the simultaneous estimation of occupancy and detectability, and associated variances and covariances. The independently developed methods of Tyre et al (2003) are closely related, but not as flexible.…”
Species presence/absence surveys are commonly used in monitoring programs, metapopulation studies and habitat modelling, yet they can never be used to confirm that a species is absent from a location. Was the species there but not detected, or was the species genuinely absent? Not accounting for imperfect detection of the species leads to misleading conclusions about the status of the population under study. Here some recent modelling developments are reviewed that explicitly allow for the detection process, enabling unbiased estimation of occupancy, colonization and local extinction probabilities. The methods are illustrated with a simple analysis of presence/absence data collected on larvae and metamorphs of tiger salamander (Ambystoma tigrinum) in 2000 and 2001 from Minnesota farm ponds, which highlights that misleading conclusions can result from naïve analyses that do not explicitly account for imperfect detection.
“…Methods for estimating detection rates for abundance counts provide a means for adjusting counts to estimate population density. The use of presence/absence data in monitoring and habitat studies has increased rapidly in the past 10 years (e.g., Azuma et al 1990, Pereira and Itami 1991, Buckland and Elston 1993, Wenjun Li et al 1997, NSW NPWS 2000, Fleishman et al 2001, MacKenzie et al 2002. However, less attention has been given to the estimation of detection rates (or false negative observation rates) in presence/ absence point surveys goal of the survey is to ascertain whether survey locations are occupied by a given species and to estimate the overall proportion of sites that are occupied across a large region.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A. Wintle, M. A. Burgman, and R. P. Kavanagh, unpublished manuscript), their effect on survey design and data analysis (Stauffer et al 2002), habitat model performance (Dettmers et al 1999, Tyre et al 2003, population monitoring (Azuma et al 1990, Kery 2002, MacKenzie et al 2002, species richness estimates (Boulinier et al 1998), metapopulation modeling (Moilanen 2002), and population viability analysis (Goldwasser et al 2000). A. Wintle, M. A. Burgman, and R. P. Kavanagh, unpublished manuscript), their effect on survey design and data analysis (Stauffer et al 2002), habitat model performance (Dettmers et al 1999, Tyre et al 2003, population monitoring (Azuma et al 1990, Kery 2002, MacKenzie et al 2002, species richness estimates (Boulinier et al 1998), metapopulation modeling (Moilanen 2002), and population viability analysis (Goldwasser et al 2000).…”
Wildlife surveys often seek to determine the presence or absence of species at sites. Such data may be used in population monitoring, impact assessment, and specieshabitat analyses. An implicit assumption of presence/absence surveys is that if a species is not detected in one or more visits to a site, it is absent from that site. However, it is rarely if ever possible to be completely sure that a species is absent, and false negative observation errors may arise when detection probabilities are less than 1. The detectability of species in wildlife surveys is one of the most important sources of uncertainty in determining the proportion of a landscape that is occupied by a species. Recent studies emphasize the need to acknowledge and incorporate false negative observation error rates in the analysis of site occupancy data, although a comparative study of the range of available methods for estimating detectability and occupancy is notably absent. The motivation for this study stems from the lack of guidance in the literature about the relative merits of alternative methods for estimating detection probabilities and site occupancy proportions from presence/absence survey data. Six approaches to estimating underlying detection probabilities and the proportion of sites occupied from binary observation data are reviewed. These include three parametric methods based on binomial mixtures, one nonparametric approach based on mark-recapture theory, and two approaches based on simplistic assumptions about occupancy rates. We compare the performance of each method using simulated data for which the ''true'' underlying detection rate is known. Simulated data were realized from a beta-binomial distribution, incorporating a realistic level of variation in detection rates. Estimation methods varied in their precision and bias. The ''binomialwith-added-zeros'' mixture model, estimated by maximum likelihood, was the least biased estimator of detection probability and, therefore, occupancy rate. We provide an Excel spreadsheet to execute all of the methods reviewed. Stand-alone programs such as PRES-ENCE may be used to estimate all models including the ''binomial with added zeros'' model. Our findings lend support to the use of maximum likelihood methods in estimating site occupancy and detectability rates.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.