2005
DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2005.05.005
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Estimating tax and benefit multipliers in Europe

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Cited by 32 publications
(17 citation statements)
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“…Elasticity-based forecasts are one of the cornerstones of fiscal projections. Budgetary elasticities are normally estimated with econometric regressions (Bouthevillain et al, 2001;van den Noord, 2000), derived from tax or expenditure laws and from detailed information on the distribution of income and revenue (Mendoza, Razin and Tesar, 1994), or by simulating macroeconometric models (Al-Eyd and Barrel, 2005). The second part of (1) captures, via * t F , the other key ingredient of a fiscal forecast -the potential impact anticipated or expected (announced or not) policy measures or special factors might have on government budgetary items.…”
Section: Basic Decisions In Fiscal Forecastingmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Elasticity-based forecasts are one of the cornerstones of fiscal projections. Budgetary elasticities are normally estimated with econometric regressions (Bouthevillain et al, 2001;van den Noord, 2000), derived from tax or expenditure laws and from detailed information on the distribution of income and revenue (Mendoza, Razin and Tesar, 1994), or by simulating macroeconometric models (Al-Eyd and Barrel, 2005). The second part of (1) captures, via * t F , the other key ingredient of a fiscal forecast -the potential impact anticipated or expected (announced or not) policy measures or special factors might have on government budgetary items.…”
Section: Basic Decisions In Fiscal Forecastingmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…8 Reducing the proportion of liquidity constrained consumers is an inevitable consequence of financial market liberalisation, and this in turn has the potentially unintended consequence of making the economy more stable, as there is enhanced scope to borrow in order to stabilise consumption. Barrell and Al Eyd (2004) demonstrate the importance of liquidity constraints in determining the scale of multipliers in Europe, and they show that financial liberalisation has decreased the size of the multiplier in the major European economies in the past 30 years.…”
Section: Chart 3 Output Volatilitymentioning
confidence: 90%
“…Fiscal multipliers Per cent change in GDP in response to a 1 per cent of GDP temporary innovation in tax or spendingSources:Barrell and al Eyd (2004) and NiGEM. Notes: Assumptions: Tax rates are cut, or spending increased -equivalent to 1% of GDP for one year.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Niektóre kraje mają wyraźnie wyższe mnożniki fiskalne. Na przykład w Niemczech mnożnik w wyniku jednorazowego szoku polegającego na zmianie podatków pośrednich, bezpośrednich i transferów jest wyższy niż we Francji, Włoszech, Hiszpanii czy Wielkiej Brytanii [Al-Eyd, Barrell, 2005]. Z kolei w krótkim okresie mnożnik wydatków publicznych w USA jest większy niż w Wielkiej Brytanii, Francji czy Belgii [Henry, Hernandez de Cos, Momigliano, 2004].…”
Section: Rysunek 3 Tożsamości W Rachunku Dochodu Narodowegounclassified