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Omslagontwerp: Mark Oonk
MAPPING GROUNDWATER QUALITY IN THE NETHERLANDSHET KARTEREN VAN
Problem definitionPollution from agricultural and industrial origin threatens the groundwater quality in the Netherlands (Van Duijvenbooden, 1989). Locally, this pollution is measured in the groundwater at tens of metres depth (CCRX, 1994(CCRX, , 1995. Since groundwater is the main source of fresh water, pollution causes a decrease in the long-term resources of water suitable for human consumption, and currently water companies have to increase their efforts for making groundwater suitable for drinking (Versteegh et al., 1995). Furthermore, because most groundwater finally flows to the surface, a deterioration of groundwater quality affects the ecohydrological conditions of the receiving seepage areas as well as the receiving seas. In order to get insight in the current situation of groundwater quality and the systematic changes of groundwater quality over time, the national groundwater quality monitoring network (NGM) was established from 1978 to 1984 (Van Duijvenbooden et al., 1985). This network consists of 370 permanent wells spread fairly evenly over the country (Fig. 3.2, page 27), with screens at 8-10 and 23-25 metre below the soil surface. The network is sampled yearly, at first for 19 variables, and more recently for 25 variables. In recent years all provinces commenced the installation of similar monitoring network sites, the provincial groundwater quality monitoring networks (PGMs). Currently, they provide a doubling of the number of wells in the NGM.Because the monitoring network is a major financial investment, questions like 'do we have sufficient measurements?'or 'can a reduced monitoring network be sufficient?'arise. Such questions can only be answered when we have answers to the questions 'sufficient for what?' and 'what exactly do we need to know about groundwater quality?' Clearly, this calls for the quantification of what can be inferred from available information about the quality of all the groundwater of interest. Therefore we need (a) to choose a suitable, effective and estimable measure of groundwater quality (what characteristic of groundwater quality do we need to know?), and (b) to handle the estimation uncertainty in a meaningful way (to what extent can we infer this characteristic from available information?). The uncertainty about the true groundwater quality that results from limited estimation accuracy is the key parameter in optimization studies, where a trade-off between physical cost and losses due to limited knowledge should be made: if we need to know everything about groundwater then we will have to mea...