Estimated Number of Tuberculosis in Cases of Municipality Capanema/Pa for the Year 2015 Using the Method Sized Mobile

Abstract

A decade ago, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared tuberculosis (TB) in a state of emergency in the world, which is still the leading cause of death from infectious disease in adults. According to WHO estimates, two billion people representing a third of the world population is infected with Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Of these, 8 million develop the disease and two million die each year. Tuberculosis is still a serious public health problem recognized by the Brazilian government. Therefore, due to their public policy purposes, assumed commitments with their citizens and the international community to control its evolution, seeking to reduce its prevalence in the population. In the Amazon, where about 60% of the country's indigenous population, the average incidence of tuberculosis has reached 75.1 cases per 100,000 population in 1980-2000, the highest among Brazilian geopolitical regions (the national average for this period was 59.2). In order to statistically verify the number of TB cases that may occur in the municipality of Capanema / PA based on the number of cases of the disease in previous years, there was a correlation capability of the Moving Average method for data collected as method useful to estimate the number of cases of this disease in 2015.