2015
DOI: 10.1002/2014ea000090
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Error analysis for numerical estimates of space plasma parameters

Abstract: Many papers estimate space plasma parameters from instrumentation data via a fitting method, such as reduced chi‐square minimization of a model to the data; however, it is currently rare to see uncertainties for those estimates given in the form of error bars or a covariance matrix. This paper seeks to address this issue by providing a simple method that will provide the covariance matrix and therefore uncertainties with little extra computation, no matter how complex the model. Using established “black box” m… Show more

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Cited by 7 publications
(7 citation statements)
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“…We apply the code MPFIT (Levenberg‐Marquardt technique) to apply a nonlinear least squares minimization to find the best fit of the model to an observed spectrum. We then compute the curvature matrix at the best fit to find the associated uncertainties in the fit parameters [ Wilson , ].…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We apply the code MPFIT (Levenberg‐Marquardt technique) to apply a nonlinear least squares minimization to find the best fit of the model to an observed spectrum. We then compute the curvature matrix at the best fit to find the associated uncertainties in the fit parameters [ Wilson , ].…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Filtering on the uncertainties [Wilson, 2015] are far more useful as bad fits can have unphysically tiny (<0.1%) or ridiculously large (100s%) values.…”
Section: Forward Model Fittingmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Uncertainties in the determination of the fitted parameters are found by taking the square root of the diagonals of the covariance matrix for the reduced chi‐square fit, where the covariance matrix is the inverse of the curvature matrix [ Wilson , ]. The supporting information describes the method in full detail including prepruning the data to be fitted, limits and constraints used to aid a faster and more physical fit, and postpruning of the fitted data.…”
Section: Analysis Techniquesmentioning
confidence: 99%