“…Current ensembles are commonly obtained by applying different perturbations to the control (unperturbed) forecast, and should preferably be based on multiple models (Sahai et al., 2021). Ensemble forecasting is used to predict flooding (Alfieri et al., 2014; Ramos et al., 2007), droughts (Colossi & Tucci, 2020); and in hydro‐climate services, for example, for water resources management applications (Macian‐Sorribes et al., 2020; Pechlivanidis et al., 2020), agriculture (Villani et al., 2021) and hydropower (Contreras et al., 2020).…”