Energy Sector Market Analysis

Abstract

This paper presents the results of energy market analysis sponsored by the Department of Energy's (DOE) Weatherization and Intergovernmental Program (WIP) within the Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE). The analysis was conducted by a team of DOE laboratory experts from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), and Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), with additional input from Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL). The analysis was structured to identify those markets and niches where government can create the biggest impact by informing management decisions in the private and public sectors. The analysis identifies those markets and niches where opportunities exist for increasing energy efficiency and renewable energy use.

Modeling EERE Deployment Programs

“…An evaluation of the activities funded by SEP during the 2002 program year (Schweitzer and Tonn 2005) and on technical potential calculations that were developed as part of a market analysis funded by WIP (Arent et al 2006) provided the foundation for the SEP's GPRA estimates. For the SEP Formula Grants Program, 12 activities (referred to in Schweitzer and Tonn [2005] as project areas) supported by SEP were selected to represent the traditional grant programs.…”

“…For the competitive grants, energy-savings metrics were developed for each sector, based on the technical potential calculations developed in Arent et al (2006). For the SEP competitive grants, the energy savings per dollar invested developed by sector within the WIP market analysis were used to represent that activity's energy savings.…”

Projected Benefits of Federal Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Programs: FY 2005 Budget Request

“…Transportation. The transportation-sector analysis focused on the impact of the consumer, corporate, and state/local government impacts on reducing petroleum use in the transportation sector (Arent et al 2006). Within the consumer program, the savings were aggregated to consumer-focused Energy Star transportation programs, a fuel economy guide program, and a 1 MPG increase in personal vehicle market program.…”

“…The fuel economy guide program focuses on tools and educational services provided to consumers; and the 1 MPG increase in personal vehicle market is based on the reduction in fuel use associated with the U.S. transportation fleet turnover ratio, and a 1% increase in U.S. fleet fuel economy. The corporate program savings were developed based on aggregate savings associated with the Energy Star voluntary program referenced above, the fleet analysis building from Clean Cities work, and the fleet analysis variation with 15% savings growth (Arent et al 2006). The fleet analysis building from Clean Cities work savings was developed from data presented at the 2004 Clean Cities Conference, and the efficiency improvements in the transportation sector associated with this program (Arent et al 2006).…”

“…The corporate program savings were developed based on aggregate savings associated with the Energy Star voluntary program referenced above, the fleet analysis building from Clean Cities work, and the fleet analysis variation with 15% savings growth (Arent et al 2006). The fleet analysis building from Clean Cities work savings was developed from data presented at the 2004 Clean Cities Conference, and the efficiency improvements in the transportation sector associated with this program (Arent et al 2006). The fleet analysis variation with 15% savings growth comes from a second initiative issued within the Clean Cities program to increase petroleum savings by 15% annually at constant funding (Arent et al 2006).…”