Energy demand and production forecasting in Pakistan

Raza, Muhammad Amir; Khatri, Krishan Lal; Israr, Amber; Haque, Muhammad Ibrar Ul; Ahmed, Manzar; Rafique, Khalid; Saand, Abdul Sattar

doi:10.1016/j.esr.2021.100788

Cited by 62 publications

(27 citation statements)

References 21 publications

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“…Step 04: Identify the quantity of Thar lignite coal (QTLC) which carry 10,526.3 KJ/KWh (Raza et al, 2021, 2022). Substitute the values in equation (3) Mathematically verified that 0.7183 Kg/KWh quantity of Thar lignite coal carry 10,526.3 KJ/KWh energy as given in equation (4).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Step 03: To find heat rate (HR) using the values of conversion efficiency, that is 3,600 KJ/h for 1 KW of power ("Kilowatt-hours to Kilojoules Conversion (kWh to kJ)", 2022). Step 04: Identify the quantity of Thar lignite coal (QTLC) which carry 10,526.3 KJ/KWh (Raza et al, 2021(Raza et al, , 2022 4).…”

Section: Mathematical Framework For the Estimation Of Power Potential...mentioning

confidence: 99%

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Exploitation of Thar coal field for power generation in Pakistan: A way forward to sustainable energy future

Raza

Khatri

Memon

et al. 2022

Energy Exploration & Exploitation

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Thar desert is located in south-east Pakistan carries 175 billion tons of coal and is the biggest coalfield in Asia. In this paper mathematical framework is developed for the accurate estimation of power production from the available Thar coal capacity. Annual TWh possible energy production the period 2020 to 2040 followed by detailed analysis of capacity factor and Maximizing the share percentage of coal in total energy mix at least 40% by 2040 is presented. The findings reveal that Thar coal has the capability of producing 100,000 MW power up to the next 250 years. The energy generation for the years 2020, 2032, and 2040 is calculated 744 TWh per year, 700 TWh per year, and 665 TWh per year respectively and it produces negligible negative impacts on the environment. The long-term energy planning presented in this paper would attract foreign investment and Pakistan's energy needs would be fulfilled for sustainable development of the country.

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Mathematical Framework For the Estimation Of Power Potential...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Exploitation of Thar coal field for power generation in Pakistan: A way forward to sustainable energy future

Raza

Khatri

Memon

et al. 2022

Energy Exploration & Exploitation

Self Cite

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“…Recently power crises are increasing day by day in Pakistan due to a shortage of energy resources and poor financial position to install new power projects for the production of electrical power to meet the demand as per requirement [1]. Educational institutions, hospitals, laboratories, industries, residential, and commercial consumers are facing power crises and very difficult to manage the workstations in absence of electrical power [2].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Power quality can be improved by installing the devices [6,7] but the shortage of power is a serious problem for proper manufacturing in the industrial sector [1]. Electricity for resident people of villages of Pakistan is not sufficient to run their home appliances and mostly solar systems have been installed to meet the requirement during day time but at night time energy storage system is required, so the cost will be increased and less illumination is received at night time [4,8].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Simulation based Analysis of Single Unit and Parallel Connected Three Phase AC Generator in QUEST Campus Larkana

Soomro

Shah²,

Khauhwar³

et al. 2023

SJET

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Recently power crises are increasing day by day in Pakistan due to shortage of energy resources. The financial position of Pakistan is too weak and not in position to install new power projects for the production of electrical power to meet the demand as per requirement. So every consumer is trying to install the power producing devices to meet the demand inorder to run their institutional laboratories, offices, commercial plants and industrial machines. The generator is also one of the power producer device to meet the consumers demand to supply the electrical power to the load in absence of failure of power supply from utility company. A single large unit is very expensive to run the small loads and consume large amount of fuel, so parallel connection of two small generators is very beneficial to meet the demand as per requirement, result in cost saving, and less fuel consumption. QUEST Campus Larkana has installed two 50KVA generators in parallel to supply the required power to the load in absence of power supply to run their offices, workshops and laboratories, this minimize the cost, and increase the reliability of the system. The MATLAB simulation model is developed to analyze the performance of single unit generator and parallel connected generators.

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“…Energy economics is the descriptive analysis of the distribution of resources to provide energy to the population. Excessive reliance on energy market policies, and supply and demand responses, is a major source of uncertainty for energy planners primarily focused on creating the conditions for energy capital investment [4], [5]. Electricity consumption in Pakistan can be divided into five levels: household, industrial, commercial, agricultural, and other [6].…”

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confidence: 99%

Energy Demand Projection and Economy Nexus of Pakistan

Hussain

2022

QUESTRJ

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In the fundamental study to design sustainable electricity generation, long-term electricity demand forecasting has taken on a crucial role. The Low Emissions Analysis Platform (LEAP®) software is used in this study to estimate the demand for energy by various consumer groups including commercial, residential, agricultural, and industrial for the study period (2023-2050). The electricity demand is forecasted under different Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth scenarios. The developed scenarios are reference, low economic growth, medium economic growth, and high economic growth scenarios. This study identifies the key relationship between energy demand and the economy of Pakistan. It is found that energy demand and the GDP of the country have a direct relationship as one quantity increases, the other one also increases, and vice versa. 3.56% growth rate of GDP under the low GDP growth scenario causes an increment in energy demand from 137.97 million MWh in 2023 to 374.79 million MWh. Medium and high GDP growth scenario pertains to GDP growth rates of 5.79% and 10.22% which causes an increment in energy demand to 652.17 million MWh and 1,244.75 million MWh by 2050. The results of this study are significant and provide insight into electricity demand growth under the economic scenarios that could be useful for sustainable electricity planning in Pakistan.

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Energy demand and production forecasting in Pakistan

Cited by 62 publications

References 21 publications

Exploitation of Thar coal field for power generation in Pakistan: A way forward to sustainable energy future

Exploitation of Thar coal field for power generation in Pakistan: A way forward to sustainable energy future

Simulation based Analysis of Single Unit and Parallel Connected Three Phase AC Generator in QUEST Campus Larkana

Energy Demand Projection and Economy Nexus of Pakistan

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