In population management, the e ective population size, N e , can be viewed in tandem with actual population size, N , as the main factors determining a population's long-term viability and sustainability. N e is the number of individuals in an observed population that would lose genetic variation at the same rate as an ideal population. Understanding which demographic factors that a ect N e /N , will make resource allocation and decision making more e ective, either if the management goal is to maximise, maintain or minimize N e /N . The goal of this thesis was to calculate the demographic parameters that determine N e /N , following the method of Engen et al. (2010), and then determine which of these parameters N e /N is most sensitive to. In other words, determine which parameters that contribute most to the total variation in N e /N . This was done, using data on 13 Norwegian populations of house sparrows (Passer domesticus), including more than 4000 individuals, and spanning up to 20 years. To find which of the demographic parameters (demographic variance, generation time, stable age distribution, reproductive values, individual fecundity and survival) that a ect N e /N most, sensitivity analyses were carried out. Using the global variance-based Sobol' method, it was found that demographic variance, especially of older individuals, was the parameter that N e /N was most sensitive to. Generation time was found to be less important than demographic variance, which includes all the other parameters. The demographic variance of a population is determined by fecundity and survival on the individual level. The individual reproductive values were found to be most sensitive to fecundity, followed by survival. In contrast, the stable sex-age distributions, and the sex-age specific reproductive values, were found to be of little importance. For population management purposes, the results from this study show that resources should be focused on the manipulation of demographic variance in older individuals, more specifically their fecundity and survival. Even though these results are from insular populations of house sparrows, they may also apply to fragmented populations of other species with similar life histories and demography. i
SammendragInnen populasjonsforvaltning er e ektiv populasjonsstørrelse, N e , sammen med observert populasjonsstørrelse, N , hovedfaktorene som avgjør overlevelse og hvor baerekraftig en populasjon er på sikt. N e er antallet individer i en observert populasjon som ville miste genetisk variasjon med samme rate som i en ideell populasion. A forstå hvilken faktorer som er med påå påvirke N e /N , vil gjøre både ressursallokering og avgjørelser innen forvaltning mer e ektive. Dette gjelder både for mål omå maksimere, opprettholde eller minimalisere N e /N . Formålet med denne oppgaven varå beregne de demografiske parameterne som inngår i N e /N , vedå følge metoden i Engen et al. (2010), for deretterå finne hvilke av disse parameterne N e /N er mest sensitiv til. Det vil si at man ide...