End-of-Conflict Deforestation: Evidence From Colombia's Peace Agreement

Prem, Mounu; Saavedra, Santiago; Vargas, Juan F.

doi:10.2139/ssrn.3306715

Cited by 6 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 17 publications

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“…Key to meeting our objectives was understanding the influence of armed conflict and deforestation on respondents’ perceptions. To measure the relationship between perceptions regarding insecurity due to armed conflict and visible forest loss occurring in the study area, we used available municipal-level data related to warfare violence in Colombia (Prem et al 2014) and Hansen et al’s (2013) remotely sensed forest cover change measurements for 2008–2018 from Version 1.6 of their global dataset (Table S1).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The available armed conflict data were compiled by Prem et al (2014), and they detail the number of armed guerrilla attacks and deaths related to combat and other insurgency–military confrontations with various armed groups during 1997–2003 (Table S1). Most of these guerrilla attacks in the studied municipalities occurred between 1994 and 2002.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Perception of conservation strategies and nature’s contributions to people around Chingaza National Natural Park, Colombia

et al. 2020

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Summary A conventional conservation strategy is establishing protected areas to help combat anthropogenic and climate change impacts on tropical ecosystems, but the effectiveness of these measures is often hampered in upland areas by resource conflicts among armed groups, citizens and government institutions. Improved governance and community participation are key to effectively conserving these areas, yet little is known regarding citizen perceptions in such places. Here, a representative protected area in Colombia is used in order to analyse rural and urban citizen perceptions regarding conservation, conflicts with guerrilla groups and nature’s contributions to people (NCPs) around Chingaza National Natural Park. We used on-site, semi-structured in-person surveys, geospatial data and statistics to understand these perceptions and the roles of armed conflict and deforestation. Perceptions on ecosystem degradation were correlated with deforestation and past guerrilla attacks. Age and place of residence were influential pro-conservation factors, while younger respondents were most willing to invest time in conservation activities. Air purification and water supply and quality were the most identified NCPs and citizens differentiated conservation-related recreation activities from natural resource extraction. We suggest that the legacy of past armed conflict still affects conservation strategies and communities living near tropical highland protected areas.

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Perception of conservation strategies and nature’s contributions to people around Chingaza National Natural Park, Colombia

et al. 2020

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“…This is the case if the de facto end of the conflict with FARC induced a differential surge in (legal or illegal) profitable economic activities in municipalities previously affected by violence perpetrated by this armed group. Prem et al (2019b), find that deforestation rates increased substantially after the ceasefire in places with FARC presence, and that this is explained by large extractive economic activities rather than by low scale subsistence agriculture. To the extent that economic opportunities increase the opportunity cost of attending school, this points to a force that would drive school dropout in the opposite direction relative to our findings.…”

Section: Mechanismsmentioning

confidence: 88%

“…Third, we contribute to recent efforts to study the consequences of the end of the Colombian conflict. These papers highlight important unintended negative consequences in terms of the security of local leaders (Prem et al, 2019a) and deforestation (Prem et al, 2019b). That school dropout is largely reduced following the ceasefire provides a silver lining in the light of this evidence.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 98%

The Human Capital Peace Dividend

Namen

Prem

Vargas³

2021

J. Human Resources

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The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Latin American and the Caribbean Economic Association. Research published in this series may include views on policy, but LACEA takes no institutional policy positions.LACEA working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. Citation of such a paper should account for its provisional character. A revised version may be available directly from the author.

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“…Finally, we contribute to the growing literature that studies the consequences of the end of the Colombian conflict. These papers highlight significant unintended negative consequences in terms of the security of local leaders (Prem et al, 2020b) and deforestation (Prem et al, 2020a), the positive consequences for school dropout rates (Namen et al, 2020), and the pervasive incentives on coca cultivation due to a naive policy announcement during the peace negotiation (Mejía et al, 2019).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Peace Baby Boom? Evidence from Colombia's Peace Agreement

Guerra-Cújar¹,

Prem²,

Rodríguez-Lesmes³

et al. 2020

Preprint

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Violent environments are known to affect household fertility choices, demand for health services and health outcomes of newborns. Using administrative data with a difference-in- differences, we study how the end of the 50 years old Colombian conflict with FARC modified such decisions and outcomes in traditionally affected areas of the country. Results indicate that generalised reductions in total fertility rate were slowed down for municipalities traditionally affected by conflict as a result of the permanent ceasefire declared by the FARC insurgency. Total fertility rate observed a relative increase of 2.6% in the formerly conflict-affected areas, in all age groups. However, no impact was found for demand of health care services, neonatal and infant mortality rates, or birth outcomes such as the incidence of low weight at birth or the percentage of preterm births. Our evidence shows that municipalities with mines victims and expelled population by forced displacement before the ceasefire have significantly higher total fertility rate in the four years following the ceasefire. We argue that the mechanism behind this result is the optimism to raise the children in a better environment due to the reduction in victimisation in areas that experience FARC violence.

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End-of-Conflict Deforestation: Evidence From Colombia's Peace Agreement

Cited by 6 publications

References 17 publications

Perception of conservation strategies and nature’s contributions to people around Chingaza National Natural Park, Colombia

Perception of conservation strategies and nature’s contributions to people around Chingaza National Natural Park, Colombia

The Human Capital Peace Dividend

A Peace Baby Boom? Evidence from Colombia's Peace Agreement

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