Emerging market debt: practical portfolio considerations

Bernstein, Robert J.; Penicook, John A.

doi:10.1007/978-1-4615-6197-2_20

Cited by 2 publications

(1 citation statement)

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“…Banks held 97 percent of all emerging markets debt at the end of the 1980s. This number fell to roughly two-thirds by the mid-1990s as the volume of debt grew enormously (see Eichengreen and Mody (1998) and Bernstein and Penicook (1998)), however, it is still the dominant form of credit when one excludes the largest of emerging-market economies e.g., Mexico and Brazil (see Chanda et al (2001)). Moreover, two necessary assumptions of our model, first that loan contracts are non-exclusive, and second, that sovereign borrowers can shelter some of their income from creditors in the event of default, seem to apply in many situations involving private institutions lending to sovereign countries.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Competition and Intervention in Sovereign Debt Markets

Paasche¹,

Zin

2002

SSRN Journal

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We investigate markets for defaultable sovereign debt in which even though there are many identical lenders and symmetric information (including no hidden actions), perfect competition does not obtain. When a private lender allows a sovereign country to increase its level of indebtedness, that lender implicitly imposes a default externality on others who have lent to that sovereign. That is, in the case where the borrower would be able to pay back the first loan in the absence of a second loan, the borrower may have a strong incentive to take both loans and default on both loans. When a lender has no control over the actions of other lenders, they must anticipate this behavior and devise a lending strategy that is consistent with the strategies not only of the sovereign borrower, but also of other lenders. We develop a model of this strategic lending behavior in the presence of default, and show that even though there are many competing lenders, the perfectly competitive outcome does not necessarily obtain. Moreover, the equilibrium can result in monopoly-like outcomes in prices and quantities. We also study the consequences of intervention in these markets by a seemingly benevolent international financial institution, and find that these interventions, though well-intentioned, can in some cases be welfare reducing for sovereign countries and welfare improving for private lenders.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%