Emerging integration projects in Eurasia: a search for new cooperation formats?

Горбунова, Мария Лавровна; Комаров, Игорь Дмитриевич

doi:10.1080/14765284.2017.1346924

“…Wang (2016) argued that the China-led BRI has more of a defensive than an offensive nature and could present tremendous opportunities for international economic cooperation. Gorbunova and Komarov (2017), in turn, stressed that the BRI has a clear developmental purpose, focusing on industrialisation in those countries lacking in infrastructure.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Identifying export opportunities for China in the ‘Belt and Road Initiative’ group of countries: a decision support model approach

Cameron

¹

,

Cuyvers

²

,

Fu

³

et al. 2021

JITLP

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Purpose This paper aims to identify China’s realistic export opportunities (REOs) among the “Belt and Road Initiative” (BRI) group of countries. Design/methodology/approach The methodology used is a decision support model (DSM) that filters data based on country risk; macro-economic country performance; market potential in terms of import growth and import market size; and market access conditions. The high-potential REOs are revealed. Findings Out of the 84 BRI countries, 79 countries represent 42.5% of China’s REOs globally and 26.9% of China’s globally untapped potential value. Interestingly, 17.9% of this untapped potential is in the BRI countries Poland, Austria and the Czech Republic, thus providing a potentially important route into the European Union. Research limitations/implications If China wants to develop additional or new markets, focus should be put on the BRI markets outside of the top 20. China should also invest in the development of most BRI economies, to ensure their future growth and increased demand for import of products and services from China. Practical implications The shortlist of China’s REOs in the individual BRI countries makes for more efficient planning and prioritising of export development activities. It also highlights the need for policymakers to look beyond international trade and focus on how to also improve the domestic economies of the BRI partners. Originality/value To the best of authors’ knowledge, this paper is the first to use the DSM to identify China’s REOs at HS6-digit level within the BRI group. The findings have important implications for China’s export promotion agencies, industry associations and individual companies.

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“…The author argued, however, that it is too early to assess the impact of the BRI. (Cheng, 2016) said that the BRI offers excellent potential for economic cooperation, but its success depends on many factors beyond China's control (Wang, 2016) argued that the China-led BRI has more of a defensive than an offensive nature and could present tremendous opportunities for international economic cooperation (Gorbunova & Komarov, 2017), in turn, stressed that the BRI has a clear developmental purpose, focusing on industrialization in those countries lacking infrastructure.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Untitled

2023

SCIENTIFIC WORK

0

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In the context of COVID-19, international trade has been strongly affected, and it is of great importance to accelerate trade with countries along with the "Belt and Road Initiative" to achieve business transformation. This thesis uses the gravity model to measure export potential based on data from China and Central Asia from 2008 to 2018. In this thesis, we estimate the differences to examine the BRI's effect on China's export potential to Central Asia and other BRI countries along the Belt and Road routes. The results show that China's export potential to Central Asian countries increased significantly after the initiative, especially for product exports in capital-intensive industries. We also distinguished between different regions and saw a much stronger effect for the countries of the Association of Southeast Asian and West Asian Nations.

show abstract

“…The author argued, however, that it is too early to assess the impact of the BRI. (Cheng, 2016) said that the BRI offers excellent potential for economic cooperation, but its success depends on many factors beyond China's control (Wang, 2016) argued that the China-led BRI has more of a defensive than an offensive nature and could present tremendous opportunities for international economic cooperation (Gorbunova & Komarov, 2017), in turn, stressed that the BRI has a clear developmental purpose, focusing on industrialization in those countries lacking infrastructure.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Study on China’s Export Potential to Central Asia in the Background of the Belt and Road Initiative (Bri)

Meredov¹,

Ma²

2023

SCIENTIFIC WORK

1

0

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In the context of COVID-19, international trade has been strongly affected, and it is of great importance to accelerate trade with countries along with the "Belt and Road Initiative" to achieve business transformation. This thesis uses the gravity model to measure export potential based on data from China and Central Asia from 2008 to 2018. In this thesis, we estimate the differences to examine the BRI's effect on China's export potential to Central Asia and other BRI countries along the Belt and Road routes. The results show that China's export potential to Central Asian countries increased significantly after the initiative, especially for product exports in capital-intensive industries. We also distinguished between different regions and saw a much stronger effect for the countries of the Association of Southeast Asian and West Asian Nations.

show abstract

Emerging integration projects in Eurasia: a search for new cooperation formats?

Cited by 10 publications

References 5 publications

Identifying export opportunities for China in the ‘Belt and Road Initiative’ group of countries: a decision support model approach

Identifying export opportunities for China in the ‘Belt and Road Initiative’ group of countries: a decision support model approach

Untitled

Study on China’s Export Potential to Central Asia in the Background of the Belt and Road Initiative (Bri)

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