Elucidating competing strategic behaviors using prospect theory, system dynamics, and evolutionary game: a case of transjurisdictional water pollution problem in China

Yuan, Liang; He, Weijun; Degefu, Dagmawi Mulugeta; Kong, Yang; Wu, Xin; Xu, Shasha; Wan, Zhongchi; Ramsey, Thomas Stephen

doi:10.1007/s11356-021-17034-z

Cited by 23 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 65 publications

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“…The officials who can make decisions should reasonably cross administrative regional barriers, promote the efficient flow of different types of resources in the whole basin, improve the economic vitality of the YREB, and work towards integrated economic development (Yuan et al, 2021b). The enterprises and government should jointly promote high-quality development of the industrial economy, realize the transformation and optimization of the environment through highquality development, and shift the economy-resource-environment system toward the long-term goal of collaborative progress with the help of the power of development (Li et al, 2020;Yuan et al, 2020).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…System dynamics models can deal with complex, nonlinear, high-order, and multivariate time-varying phenomena with multiple feedbacks through long-term dynamic and strategic simulation analysis. This is a useful tool in the study of complex nonlinear systems of the economy and environment (Yuan et al, 2021a). Chen (2004) constructed an ecological-economic social feedback regulation mechanism based on the relationship between economic demand and ecological supply, and provided a practical scheme for coordinated development.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Coordination of the Industrial-Ecological Economy in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, China

Yuan

et al. 2022

Front. Environ. Sci.

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The Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) is an important growth pole of China’s economy, but it is also one of the most environmentally polluted basins in China. Maintaining the vitality of economic development while at the same time realizing the coordinated development of industry and ecosystems, is an important issue that needs in-depth discussion and research. This paper analyzes the degree of coordination regarding the industrial-ecological economy in the YREB, identifies important influencing factors, and puts forward measures for improvement. First, an evaluation model of the industrial-ecological economy is constructed. Second, a model is constructed for the measurement of the coordination degree of the industrial economy and industrial ecology based on the Lotka-Volterra Model. Third, the relationship is assessed with respect to competition versus cooperation. Finally, the important factors affecting coordination are identified using a Neural Network Model. Four main conclusions can be drawn: 1) The comprehensive development of the industrial economy and industrial ecology in 11 provinces and cities in the YREB is generally trending upward. 2) The coordination level of the industrial-ecological economy in the midstream area is high. The provinces Jiangsu, Jiangxi, Sichuan, and Guizhou are in a coordinated state. 3) The midstream area has a more balanced industrial-ecological economy with significant symbiosis between the industrial economy and industrial ecology. Jiangsu, Jiangxi, Sichuan, and Guizhou Provinces show a symbiotic relationship; Shanghai City, Chongqing City, and Anhui Province show a partially symbiotic relationship; and Zhejiang, Hubei, Hunan, and Yunnan Provinces show a mutually inhibitory relationship. 4) The industrial ecosystem is the largest factor in the degree of coordination, and intensity of R&D investment, regional GDP per capita, and proportion of tertiary-industry added-value in GDP also have a great impact. Based on this analysis, this paper proposes measures for high-quality development of the industrial-ecological economy of the YREB with regard to balanced development of the industrial economy, transformation and upgrading of the surrounding environment, along with coordinated and integrated development.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Coordination of the Industrial-Ecological Economy in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, China

Yuan

et al. 2022

Front. Environ. Sci.

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“…Wang et al [18] examined the influencing factors and simulations of ecological compensation in river basins. Additionally, Yuan et al [19] utilized prospect theory, system dynamics, and evolutionary game methods to study competitive strategic behaviors in cross-administrative regional water pollution issues within China. Jiang et al [20] focused on the stability and influencing factors of incentive-compatible payments in ecological compensation within the Xin'anjiang River Basin.…”

Section: Studies On River Basin Ecological Governance and Game Theory...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Tripartite Coordinated Governance Evolutionary Game and System Simulation Study on the Ecological Environment in China’s Pearl River Basin

Gong,

Zhang,

Wang

et al. 2024

Pol. J. Environ. Stud.

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The aim of this study is to dissect and enhance the tripartite collaborative governance mechanisms among polluting enterprises, the public, and government regulatory bodies within the scope of China's recent healthcare reforms. Through the lens of an evolutionary game model, this research seeks to understand the strategic evolutionary equilibrium among these actors and evaluate the impact of various incentives and penalties on their decision-making processes. Utilizing an evolutionary game model from a bounded rationality perspective, it investigates the strategic evolutionary equilibrium among the stakeholders and the influence of various factors on their strategic evolution. A critical equilibrium point E5(1,1,0) was identified, where enterprises adopt clean production strategies, the public engages in environmental governance, and the government exercises lenient regulatory strategies. Empirical analysis employing real-world data further substantiates the theoretical findings, showcasing how governmental bodies can drive clean production measures among polluting enterprises through economic incentives or penalties. The study outlines pivotal measures for achieving collaborative ecological governance in the Pearl River Delta region, such as establishing an information sharing platform, augmenting government regulation and enforcement, encouraging clean production in enterprises, enhancing public participation, and bolstering support for technological innovation. These measures could promote continuous environmental amelioration and sustainable development in the region. The findings offer both theoretical and practical insights for multifaceted environmental governance

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“…More recently, Ross (2020) applied prospect theory to evolving standard operating procedures and decision-making in Afghanistan and explored how psychological biases influence risk calculation and decision-making, emphasizing the significance of reference points and how they are modulated. Further applications of prospect theory have evaluated competing strategic behaviors with regard transjurisdictional water pollution ( Yuan et al, 2022 ) emergency decision-making regarding water diversion in China ( Li et al, 2022 ) and blockchain-based data governance and government policy incentives for manufacturing supply chains ( Wei et al, 2023 ).…”

Section: Why Does Technology Divergence Happen?mentioning

confidence: 99%

The worsening divergence of biotechnology: the importance of risk culture

Trump,

Cummings,

Loschin

et al. 2023

Front. Bioeng. Biotechnol.

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In the last 20 years, the field of biotechnology has made significant progress and attracted substantial investments, leading to different paths of technological modernization among nations. As a result, there is now an international divide in the commercial and intellectual capabilities of biotechnology, and the implications of this divergence are not well understood. This raises important questions about why global actors are motivated to participate in biotechnology modernization, the challenges they face in achieving their goals, and the possible future direction of global biotechnology development. Using the framework of prospect theory, this paper explores the role of risk culture as a fundamental factor contributing to this divergence. It aims to assess the risks and benefits associated with the early adoption of biotechnology and the regulatory frameworks that shape the development and acceptance of biotechnological innovations. By doing so, it provides valuable insights into the future of biotechnology development and its potential impact on the global landscape.

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Elucidating competing strategic behaviors using prospect theory, system dynamics, and evolutionary game: a case of transjurisdictional water pollution problem in China

Cited by 23 publications

References 65 publications

Coordination of the Industrial-Ecological Economy in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, China

Coordination of the Industrial-Ecological Economy in the Yangtze River Economic Belt, China

Tripartite Coordinated Governance Evolutionary Game and System Simulation Study on the Ecological Environment in China’s Pearl River Basin

The worsening divergence of biotechnology: the importance of risk culture

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