2021
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhep.2021.03.021
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Elevated bilirubin, alkaline phosphatase at onset, and drug metabolism are associated with prolonged recovery from DILI

Abstract: Accelerated failure time analysis of clinical factors and drug properties Spanish DILI Cohort (N = 257) LiverTox Cohort (N = 191) Development of recovery score model External validations Score = 0.227× log e (ALP) + 0.277 × log e (Bilirubin) + 0.161 × log e (Onset) -0.440 × extent of metabolism iDILIC cohort (N = 294) Highlights Bilirubin, ALP, time to onset, and drug metabolism influence DILI recovery time. Parametric time-to-event method identifies risk factors for prolonged DILI recovery. Recovery score mod… Show more

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Cited by 27 publications
(20 citation statements)
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References 31 publications
(62 reference statements)
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“…Some studies have shed light on the outcomes of DILI. Ashby et al [ 36 ] established a multivariate recovery score model to predict prolonged DILI recovery from 294 cases and validated in two external cohorts. Notably, their enrolled patients were acute DILI, and no liver biopsy was performed.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Some studies have shed light on the outcomes of DILI. Ashby et al [ 36 ] established a multivariate recovery score model to predict prolonged DILI recovery from 294 cases and validated in two external cohorts. Notably, their enrolled patients were acute DILI, and no liver biopsy was performed.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The area under the curve (AUC) of the ROC for the training set of recovered DILI vs. chronic DILI is 0.889, with a sensitivity of 73.7% and a specificity of 92.7%, while the AUC for the validation set is 0.888, with a sensitivity of 71.4% and a specificity of 91.3% ( Figure 5B ). We then evaluated the predictive ability of AdA and Asp (‘AdA-Asp model’) with other markers such as TB, DB, ALP and TCA in all the DILI patients, which has been reported to be correlated with DILI chronicity in previous studies ( 11 , 12 , 28 ). The AUC for TB, DB, ALP and TCA were 0.57, 0.55, 0.58, and 0.57, respectively, while AUC for the panel of AdA and Asp was 0.850 ( Figure 5C ).…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In our study, serum metabolites were detected by using global metabolic analysis and logistic regression was used to select metabolites in order to establish the prediction model for chronic DILI. An ‘AdA-Asp model’ was developed in our study, showing better predictive ability than biochemical indicators such as TB, DB, ALP ( 28 ) and TCA ( 11 ).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Patient recovery was defined as a return to normal of the patient’s serum biochemical parameters (1 × ULN) ( Ashby et al, 2021 ). As patients with DILI whose liver function did not return to normal for >6 months were considered to have a chronic liver injury ( Yu et al, 2017 ), we set 180 days as the cutoff point for follow-up.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%