“…The P300 or P3b has well-established sensitivity to stimulus probability, exhibiting larger peak amplitudes for less probable stimuli (Polich & Margala, 1997). Prior research in healthy humans thus hypothesised that the P300 may be a marker of sensitivity to state transitions on the two-step task, though these studies have yielded inconsistent results, with some finding greater P300 amplitudes for rare versus common transitions (Sambrook, Hardwick, Wills, & Goslin, 2018;Shahnazian, Ribas-Fernandes, & Holroyd, 2019) and one finding the opposite (Eppinger, Walter, & Li, 2017). Here, we examined the second stage stimulus-locked P300 and found a significant main effect of transition type (β = 0.15, SE = 0.07, p = 0.03), consistent with Sambrook et al (2018) and Shahnazian et al (2019) whereby greater P300 amplitude was observed after rare versus common transitions (Figure 3).…”