Effects of Trade Openness, Exchange Rate, and Oil Price on the Exports in Syria

Mohsen, Adel Shakeeb

doi:10.13187/es.2015.12.76

Cited by 7 publications

(12 citation statements)

References 11 publications

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“…The result is in line with Hoque and Yusop, Z. [5], Mohsen [10], Epaphra [7], and Mohsen et al [11] (2017). In conclusion, GDP per capita and real exchange rate both impact road vehicle exports.…”

Section: The Cointegration Testsupporting

confidence: 91%

“…The results revealed that the exchange rate, GDP per capita, and trade liberalization had a positive effect on export performance. Similarly, Mohsen [10], investigated the impact of oil prices, trade openness, and exchange rate on the Syria's exports for the period of 1970-2010. The results from the cointegration test revealed that trade openness and oil prices were positively related to Syrian exports, but the exchange rate showed a negative relationship.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The Determinants of Thailand’s Road Vehicle Exports

Promsuwan¹,

Chua²

2021

Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Sustainable Management and Innovation, ICoSMI 2020, 14-16 September 2020, Bo

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Road vehicles, which are a major manufacturing export, can increase employment and income for the Thai population. It has therefore necessitated the effective integration of information and communication technologies to enhance the comparative advantage in international markets. The research aims to investigate the factors affecting Thailand's road vehicle exports. The four factors ( foreign direct investment, exchange rate, openness, and GDP per capita) were analyzed in the period 1980 to 2018. The findings from the cointegration test shown that all four factors were positively related to road vehicle exports. The impulse response functions present that the real exchange rate was essential for road vehicle exports to grow from the third year onwards. A variance decomposition analysis revealed that GDP per capita and real exchange rate were an important factor of the ten-year forecast for road vehicle exports, followed by trade openness and foreign direct investment. Based on empirical research, the growth rate of GDP per capita can help to expand production capacity and to expedite exports. The depreciation of the Thai baht attracts more foreign investment and demand for Thai products. The growth in trade openness and foreign direct investment is also linked to increased export volume in this sector. Therefore, to promote sustainable growth in vehicle sales, the government needs to expand market destinations and entice foreign investors by offering more incentives.

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Section: The Cointegration Testsupporting

confidence: 91%

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Determinants of Thailand’s Road Vehicle Exports

Promsuwan¹,

Chua²

2021

Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Sustainable Management and Innovation, ICoSMI 2020, 14-16 September 2020, Bo

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“…According to Palumbo et al (2010), based on overall assessment, they can be classified as having negative, positive or no influence on the economic growth. One group of researchers has shown evidence positive influence of population in economic development (Ali et al, 2013;Azam et al, 2020;Guga et al, 2015;Mamun et al, 2017;Mohsen & Chua, 2015;Musa, 2015;Nyoni & Bonga, 2017;Sebikabu et al, 2020;Sethy & Sahoo, 2015;Thuku et al, 2013). Another group of researchers argues that population has a negative link with economic growth (Abdullah et al, 2015;Ahmed, 2018;Ahmed & Ahmad, 2016;Faruk, 2019;Gatsi & Appiah, 2020;Ogbuabor et al, 2018;Onime, 2019;Sibt e Ali et al, 2018;Ugwuanyi, 2018;Wako, 2012).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Some researchers have also provided insights into where no significant statistical relationship could be found between population growth and economic development (Jarjusey & Palamuleni, 2017;Karim & Amin, 2018;Sarker et al, 2016). There is also a group researchers who presented that population has bi-directional causality with the economic growth (Mohsen & Chua, 2015;Thuku et al, 2013;Wako, 2012). Furthermore, there was also a group of researchers that has shown that population growth showing unidirectional causality exist among population and economic growth (Ahmed, 2018;Anudjo, 2015;Faruk, 2019;Musa, 2015;Rahman et al, 2017;Sarker et al, 2016;Ugwuanyi, 2018).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The outcomes of the Log-Log Model with OLS revealed affirmative influence of population on economic growth whereas; urban population negatively influences the economic growth. Mohsen and Chua (2015), empirically explored the influence of population on Syria's economic growth from 1980-2010. Findings of Johansen co-integration and Granger-Causality revealed that population had significantly positive and also bidirectional causal relation with GDP in long-run.…”

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confidence: 99%

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Population Dynamics and Economic Growth; Empirical Evidence from SAARC Countries

2022

GJHSSR

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The prime objective of this paper is look into how population dynamics influence on SAARC countries economic growth. This paper utilizes panel data of five permanent members of SAARC from 1990-2019. In order to estimate the data, the present study used Panel Unit Root Tests, PMG/ panel ARDL techniques, Kao Residual co-integration test, and Dumitrescu-Hurlin causality tests. Empirical outcomes of PMG/ARDL co-integration test analysis found that the population growth, urban population growth, and rural population growth have a negative but statistically significant impact on GDP per-capita growth in long-run. Furthermore, this study also found one-way casualty running from population and rural population to GDPPC while no causal linkage exists among urban population growth and GDP per-capita.

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2018

IJO-BS

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The Syrian economy has been affected by this war. The numbers are evidence of the deterioration of the Syrian economy and the loss of billions of dollars since the beginning of the war, especially the energy, industrial and agricultural sectors. Syria also suffered mass exodus and emigration. Have very serious indications and indicators. However, the research shows that the Syrian economy has all the elements to return to the better than it was in the field of agriculture, it has the necessary infrastructure of dams and land and agricultural expertise acceptable but needs to develop to return to what it was. In order to achieve the best and to upgrade to better than it was in the introduction of some things that are considered sophisticated and the country needs foreign expertise to do so. It has been found that the main factor of development and reconstruction is the elimination of terrorism and internal reconciliation among the components of the Syrian people and the return of lost stability, which is necessary for any development process.

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Effects of Trade Openness, Exchange Rate, and Oil Price on the Exports in Syria

Cited by 7 publications

References 11 publications

The Determinants of Thailand’s Road Vehicle Exports

The Determinants of Thailand’s Road Vehicle Exports

Population Dynamics and Economic Growth; Empirical Evidence from SAARC Countries

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