“…For practical applications to astronauts, communications, and satellite operations, it is recognized that the 50-MeV range is of greatest importance (Schwank et al, 2005, Posner, 2007, Tribble, 2010, although for specific applications such as single event upsets, lower (E > 30-MeV) energies are expected to be important (O'Brien, 2009). One forecast system, UMASEP, which matches derivatives of soft X-ray flare increases (N uñez, 2011) or microwave fluxes (Zucca et al, 2017) with initial increases of SEP intensities, has been extended to the 100-MeV range (N uñez, 2015).…”