Effects of future climate change on the preservation of artworks, thermal comfort and energy consumption in historic buildings

Muñoz-González, Carmen; Rodríguez, Ángel Luis; Medina, Róbinson; Jaramillo, Jonathan Ruiz

doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.115483

Cited by 44 publications

(32 citation statements)

References 21 publications

(27 reference statements)

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“…Accordingly, Bertolin and Camuffo (2014) projected an increase in mechanical damage for hygroscopic materials with a higher risk in the summer season for Southern Europe due to increased fluctuations in humidity, while Huijbregts et al (2013) and Huijbregts, Schellen, van Schijndel et al (2015) predicted an increase in the detachment of paint on wooden art objects in historical buildings across Europe. Similarly, Rajčić et al (2017) and Muñoz González et al (2020) anticipated an increase in mechanical damage to pictorial layers and wooden sculptures and altarpieces, exemplified by their study of the St. Barbara Chapel in Croatia and St. Francis of Assisi in Italy. Cavalagli et al (2019) further predicted worsening of structural damage to Consoli Palace, an historic masonry building, because of an increase in indoor temperature and moisture conditions.…”

Section: Impacts Of Gradual Changes In Climate On Indoor Cultural Heritage and Collectionsmentioning

confidence: 96%

Climate change impacts on cultural heritage: A literature review

Sesana

Gagnon

Ciantelli

et al. 2021

WIREs Climate Change

230

111

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Climate change, as revealed by gradual changes in temperature, precipitation, atmospheric moisture, and wind intensity, as well as sea level rise and changes in the occurrence of extreme events, is already affecting cultural heritage sites. Accordingly, there is a rapidly increasing body of research reporting on the impacts of climatic stressors on cultural heritage and on the assessment of climate change impacts on cultural heritage assets. This review synthesizes the international literature on climate change impacts on tangible cultural heritage by developing hazard‐impact diagrams focusing on the impacts of gradual changes in climate on: (1) the cultural heritage exposed to the outside environment, (2) the interiors of historical buildings and their collections, and (3) a third diagram associated with climate change and the impacts due to sudden changes in the natural physical environment (e.g., storm surges, floods and landslides, wildfire) in addition to sea level rise, permafrost thawing, desertification and changes in the properties of the oceans. These diagrams, which depict the relationships between various stressors and their impacts on cultural heritage, will allow other researchers, stakeholders, and potentially decision makers to determine the potential impacts of climate change on a specific cultural heritage asset without a separate examination of the literature. This review thus provides the current state‐of‐the‐art on the impacts of climate change on the tangible, built heritage, that is, monuments, archeological sites, historical buildings, as well as their interiors and the collections they hold, highlights the limitations of previous research, and provides recommendations for further studies. This article is categorized under: Assessing Impacts of Climate Change > Evaluating Future Impacts of Climate Change

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Section: Impacts Of Gradual Changes In Climate On Indoor Cultural Heritage and Collectionsmentioning

confidence: 96%

Climate change impacts on cultural heritage: A literature review

Sesana

Gagnon

Ciantelli

et al. 2021

WIREs Climate Change

230

111

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Climate change is one of the main critical global challenges of our time, which could lead, among other things, to accelerated degradation or loss of cultural heritage [1]. In order to manage properly our cultural heritage buildings, thus, it is important to know how changes in future climate will affect the outdoor and consequently the indoor conditions of historical buildings [2,3]. They are generally characterized by old and precious materials and contain several artworks, which are particularly sensitive to climate behaviour.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Proofs that the interest in such topics is increasing are the number of recent scientific publications [3,[5][6][7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15] as well as the funded projects at the European level [16][17][18].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Although in recent years, some studies analysed the future threats due to climate change in heritage indoors [2,3,6,10,13,15,[20][21][22][23], few of them developed methods and tools to assess the impact of climate change upon heritage artworks [2,3,23].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Muñoz González et al [3] followed a similar approach, which combines a monitoring campaign and simulation model to assess, respectively, current and future indoor climate parameters in several historic churches. The authors adopted CCWorldWeatherGen [26] software to generate future weather data and predict the effects on artwork conservation, energy consumption, and thermal comfort.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Effects of Climate Change on the Future of Heritage Buildings: Case Study and Applied Methodology

Huerto-Cardenas

Aste

Pero

et al. 2021

Climate

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Heritage buildings and the precious artworks contained therein, represent inestimable cultural and artistic evidence from the past that must be properly preserved for future generations. In the last decades, climate change has gained relevance and is becoming crucial to assess the building performance under such effect to provide timely mitigation actions to preserve our cultural heritage. In this regard, this paper outlines a method that combines different experimental activities and tools to forecast possible future risks due to climate change for the conservation of the artworks and provide its application in a relevant case study in Italy, the Duomo di Milano. In detail, the suggested method consists of the monitoring of the building indoor climate to validate a simulation model, defining possible future scenarios based on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) projections, and evaluation of the future conservation risks of the main artworks. The results of the analysis carried out, show that for some artworks (e.g., stone sculptures, some organic materials, etc.), the conservation conditions will not worsen compared to the current situation, while for others (e.g., paintings, wooden objects, etc.) the risk of deterioration is expected to increase substantially. This study helps to understand how the future climate can affect the indoor environment of a huge masonry building and allow to plan targeted mitigation strategies aimed to reduce the future risks.

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Climate projections of human thermal comfort for indoor workplaces

Sulzer,

Christen

2024

Climatic Change

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Climate models predict meteorological variables for outdoor spaces. Nevertheless, most people work indoors and are affected by heat indoors. We present an approach to transfer climate projections from outdoors to climate projections of indoor air temperature (Ti) and thermal comfort based on a combination of indoor sensors, artificial neural networks (ANNs), and 22 regional climate projections. Human thermal comfort and Ti measured by indoor sensors at 90 different workplaces in the Upper Rhine Valley were used as training data for ANN models predicting indoor conditions as a function of outdoor weather. Workplace-specific climate projections were modeled for the time period 2070–2099 and compared to the historical period 1970–1999 using the same ANNs, but ERA5-Land reanalysis data as input. It is shown that heat stress indoors will increase in intensity, frequency, and duration at almost all investigated workplaces. The rate of increase depends on building and room properties, the workplace purpose, and the representative concentration pathway (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, or RCP8.5). The projected increase of the mean air temperature in the summer (JJA) outdoors, by + 1.6 to + 5.1 K for the different RCPs, is higher than the increase in Ti at all 90 workplaces, which experience on average an increase of + 0.8 to + 2.5 K. The overall frequency of heat stress is higher at most workplaces than outdoors for the historical and the future period. The projected hours of indoor heat stress will increase on average by + 379 h, + 654 h, and + 1209 h under RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5, respectively.

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Effects of future climate change on the preservation of artworks, thermal comfort and energy consumption in historic buildings

Cited by 44 publications

References 21 publications

Climate change impacts on cultural heritage: A literature review

Climate change impacts on cultural heritage: A literature review

Effects of Climate Change on the Future of Heritage Buildings: Case Study and Applied Methodology

Climate projections of human thermal comfort for indoor workplaces

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