Effects of climate change on the geographical distribution and potential distribution areas of 35 Millettia Species in China

Zhao, Kai; Li, Xuetong; Yang, Jingru; Huang, Ziyin; Li, Chunlian; Yao, Lewen; Tan, Zekai; Wu, Xianyi; Huang, Shiyuan; Yuan, Yanghe; Hong, Zhengyi; Cai, Qiuyang; Chen, Zhuoyu; Zhang, Lanyue

doi:10.1007/s11356-022-23515-6

Cited by 3 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 45 publications

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“…Further support has been received from plants of Magnolia ( Wang et al., 2022 ), Theaceae species ( Zhang et al., 2020 ; Tang and Zhao, 2022 ) or some case studies, such as Magnolia sprengeri ( Zhou et al., 2021b ) and Glyptostrobus pensilis ( Pueyo-Herrera et al., 2022 ). Similar to Millettia , a few Magnoliaceae species experience range size expansions that may be caused by increased precipitation ( Zhao et al., 2023 ). In the western subregion, the pattern of northeastward escape of western Magnoliaceae species to higher elevations is similar to that of HMS plants, and the possibility of size expansion exists if the escape reaches the QTP ( Liang et al., 2018 ).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Differential distribution shifts in two subregions of East Asian subtropical evergreen broadleaved forests—a case of Magnoliaceae

Wu,

Liu,

et al. 2024

Front. Plant Sci.

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AimEast Asian subtropical evergreen broad-leaved forests (EBLFs) are composed of western and eastern subregions with different topographical and environmental conditions. The distribution shifts over time of plants in the two subregions are predicted to be different, but the difference has seldom been investigated.MethodsPotential distributions of 53 Magnoliaceae species (22 in the western and 31 in the eastern subregion) during the last glacial maximum (LGM), present, and the 2070s were predicted using MaxEnt based on 58 environmental variables. The changes in the distribution range size and centroid over time were analyzed. Species-level potential habitats were overlaid to uncover species diversity distribution, and the distributions over time were overlaid to discover long-term refugia.ResultsAt present, the potential distributions are significantly larger than those shown by the occurrence points. During the LGM, 20/22 species in the western subregion experienced increases in range size through downwards and southward migrations, while decreases in range size in the eastern subregion (27/31 species) were accompanied by northward and eastward migrations. In the future, range size declines and northward shifts will both be found; northwestward shifts will exist in most (20/22 species) species in the western subregion, while both northwest- and northeastward shifts will occur in the eastern subregion. The diversity hotspots experienced a slight southward shift in the past and upwards to the mountain region in the future in the western subregion; in the eastern subregion, shrinks occurred in eastern China in the past and shrinks were shown in all regions in the future. Long-term refugia-preserving diversity was found in the mountains across the entire EBLFs region.Main conclusionsSignificant differences in distribution shifts from past to present and similar distribution shifts from present to future are revealed in the two subregions. Species diversity in both subregions experienced no significant shifts from past to future, and Magnoliaceae plants could be preserved in mountainous regions throughout the EBLFs.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Differential distribution shifts in two subregions of East Asian subtropical evergreen broadleaved forests—a case of Magnoliaceae

Wu,

Liu,

et al. 2024

Front. Plant Sci.

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“…In recent years, the rapid development of species distribution models (SDMs), based on the ecological and distributional characteristics of species, has provided scientific guidance for prioritizing species conservation ( Zhang et al., 2018 ; Li et al., 2020 ; Rousseau and Betts, 2022 ; Zhao et al., 2023 ). Using the occurrence of target species and environment variables, SDMs can simulate the potential distribution of suitable habitats for species under climate change ( Yi et al., 2016 ; Wang et al., 2022 ).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing the suitability and dynamics of three medicinal Sambucus species in China under current and future climate scenarios

Luo,

Han,

et al. 2023

Front. Plant Sci.

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Climate change exerts profound influences on the ecological environments on a global scale, leading to habitat destruction and altering distribution patterns for numerous plant species. Traditional Chinese medicinal plants, such as those belonging to the Sambucus genus, have been extensively utilized for several centuries to treat fractures, rheumatism, and inflammation. However, our understanding of their geographic distribution and climatic adaptation within China still needs to be improved. In this study, we screened the optimal predictive model (random forest model) to predict the potential suitable distribution of three Sambucus species (Sambucus adnata, Sambucus javanica, and Sambucus williamsii) across China under both current and future climate scenarios. Moreover, we identified key climate factors that influence their potential distributions. Our findings revealed that S. adnata and S. javanica are predominantly shaped by temperature seasonality and mean diurnal range, respectively, whereas S. williamsii is significantly affected by the precipitation of the wettest month. Currently, S. williamsii is primarily distributed in north and central south China (covering 9.57 × 105 km2), S. javanica is prevalent in the south and east regions (covering 6.41×105 km2), and S. adnata predominantly thrives in the southwest China (covering 1.99×105 km2). Under future climate change scenarios, it is anticipated that S. adnata may migrate to higher latitudes while S. javanica may shift to lower latitudes. However, potentially suitable areas for S. williamsii may contract under certain scenarios for the years 2050 and 2090, with an expansion trend under the SSP585 scenario for the year 2090. Our study emphasizes the importance of climatic variables in influencing the potential geographic distribution of Sambucus species. These findings provide valuable theoretical insights for the preservation, cultivation, and utilization of Sambucus medicinal plant resources in the context of ongoing climate change.

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Geographical distribution and predict potential distribution of Cerasus serrulata

Zhang

Huang

Yuan

et al. 2023

Environ Sci Pollut Res

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Effects of climate change on the geographical distribution and potential distribution areas of 35 Millettia Species in China

Cited by 3 publications

References 45 publications

Differential distribution shifts in two subregions of East Asian subtropical evergreen broadleaved forests—a case of Magnoliaceae

Differential distribution shifts in two subregions of East Asian subtropical evergreen broadleaved forests—a case of Magnoliaceae

Assessing the suitability and dynamics of three medicinal Sambucus species in China under current and future climate scenarios

Geographical distribution and predict potential distribution of Cerasus serrulata

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