Effects of Climate Change and Variability on Agricultural Production Systems

Doering, Otto C.; Randolph, J. C.; Southworth, Jane; Pfeifer, Rebecca A.

doi:10.1007/978-1-4615-0969-1

Cited by 11 publications

(1 citation statement)

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“…The projections used in the present paper represent an ensemble average of 15 Atmosphere Ocean Global Climate Models (AOGCMs) of the CMIP5 multimodal data set, and are in line with the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (2013). The models included CanESM2, ACCESS1.0, IPSL-CM5A-MR, MIROC5, MPI-ESM-LR, CCSM4, HadGEM2-ES, CNRM-CM5, CSIRO Mk 3.6, GFDL-CM3, INM-CM4, MRI-CGCM3, MIROC-ESM, CESM1-CAM5 and GISS-E2R and were selected to be representative for the major clusters of similar AOGCMs (Sourthworth, 2002;Wang et al, 2017). For this study, the authors agree with a median emission scenario of representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5, which means a global prediction of +1.4 (AE0.5) C for the mid-century.…”

Section: Climate and Land-cover Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate change impact on crop evapotranspiration in Turkey during the 21st Century

Nistor

Mîndrescu

Petrea

et al. 2019

Meteorological Applications

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Evapotranspiration calculation is an important matter due to agricultural reasons, but also for understanding water resources and runoff amount in a certain territory. Two CMIP5 multimodal projections (2011–2040 and 2041–2070) and land‐cover pattern were used to analyse the seasonal and annual crop evapotranspiration trend in Turkey. The spatial distribution of crop evapotranspiration related to the initial season, mid‐season, end season and cold season were computed through a geographical information system. The maximum crop evapotranspirations were found in the mid‐season for present and future, with 1,072 and 1,241 mm respectively. For the future period, an increase in the spatial distribution of crop evapotranspiration was depicted in several places due to climate warming, mainly in the southern and southeastern areas of Turkey and on the Mediterranean coast. The minimum seasonal crop evapotranspirations fell to below 154 and 164 mm in the present and future respectively. The annual crop evapotranspiration increased from 1,675 to 1,944 mm from present to future and the significant values of absolute changes were identified in the western, eastern and southeastern regions of Turkey. The findings are useful for scientists in the climate, hydrology and agriculture fields, but also for management decisions.

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Section: Climate and Land-cover Datamentioning

confidence: 99%